2020 Oregon Redistricting

[Gass3268]

State House's proposed plan (where the multi-party compromise deal was struck)



A more geographically Rational 4-2, with all seats appearing to be safe.

So is this more likely than Map A?

[Gass3268]

Which version is most likely? Election Twitter assumes Map A, everyone here is saying essentially Map B.

[Gass3268]

Yeah, Plan B is trash, make a better compromised map or just go with A.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1439761080843177984?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/dirquez/status/1440071081348370432?s=21

And it looks like they greased the wheels by giving the Minority Leader a safer seat in the Bend area.

https://twitter.com/lillianbelle2/status/1440070931494277125?s=21

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/drewsav/status/1440081687933640713?s=21

[Gass3268]

Welp, this is stupid.

https://twitter.com/dirquez/status/1440086339735670785?s=20

[Gass3268]

Welp, this is stupid.

https://twitter.com/dirquez/status/1440086339735670785?s=20

Why go all out and strip the GOP of committee assignments and make it absolutely open there is no intention of playing ball... to then adjourn?

Frankly baffling decision. Now we'll get to see if the OR GOP made their campsite reservations in Idaho after all.

I think I get it now. They gave three OR Republicans in the House better seats in the new legislative maps in order to entice them to stay today and keep quorum. If they decide to flee, the map drawing process goes to the Democratic SOS who I have to imagine also draws the 5-1 map, plus guts the legislative maps.

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1440311639140495379?s=20

[Gass3268]

Does Oregon allow mid-decade redistricting? If a sub-optimal congressional map ends up drawn by the courts, couldn't they shore up a solid 5-1 map in time for 2024?

I suppose by that logic if the Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Minnesota Governor mansions flip next year then Republicans could hypothetically redraw a strong 5-3 Minnesota, 6-2 Wisconsin, 11-6 Pennsylvania map quite easily. If a single legislature seat in Nebraska flips I guess its 3-0 there as well? The downside risk for the democrats is too large to even consider this hypothetical as anyone would rather take the potential to mid decade gerrymander 34 seats in those combined states as opposed to a merely 6 in Oregon.

Can't in Wisconsin. State Constitution only allows it to happen once a cycle.

[Gass3268]

Word is the SOS is planning on gutting all the seats for the Republican leadership.

https://twitter.com/lillianbelle2/status/1441863522195939329?s=21

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/OregonGovBrown/status/1442650660407705601?s=20