2020 Oregon Redistricting

[Former President tack50]

If Dems try to Gerrymander, here is my take on a 5-1 Dem gerrymander. Not too different from Tim's map, except it takes his 4th and 5th districts and takes them from tossup or Lean D to Likely/Safe D:



https://davesredistricting.org/join/dcd8d51f-699b-4e48-bed1-4d1646465ad0

OR-01: Clinton+17; D+8
OR-02: Trump+37; R+19
OR-03: Clinton+42; D+21
OR-04: Clinton+11; D+5
OR-05: Clinton+12; D+4
OR-06: Clinton+19; D+8

I suppose you could shift the lines a little if you feel the 4th or 5th districts are not safe enough, but this seems good for a start

[Former President tack50]

Here is my take on a map that I've done by "thinking outside the box" and crossing the cascades once, but heading towards rural Douglas county instead of Medford or Ashford. I thought that'd make the map a slight D gerrymander but apparently there is little difference (as long as you keep things clean at least):



OR-01: Clinton+12, D+4
OR-02: Trump+26, R+15
OR-03: Clinton+64, D+23
OR-04: Clinton+3, D+2
OR-05: Trump+1, R+2
OR-06: Clinton+11, D+4

Overall, it seems to me that it will be nearly impossible for Dems to draw a 5-1 map and that they'll need to concede 1 swing district at the very least, or possibly even 2 swing districts or one Safe R district (depends on how things go)

[Former President tack50]

Here is my take on a map that I've done by "thinking outside the box" and crossing the cascades once, but heading towards rural Douglas county instead of Medford or Ashford. I thought that'd make the map a slight D gerrymander but apparently there is little difference (as long as you keep things clean at least):



OR-01: Clinton+12, D+4
OR-02: Trump+26, R+15
OR-03: Clinton+64, D+23
OR-04: Clinton+3, D+2
OR-05: Trump+1, R+2
OR-06: Clinton+11, D+4

Overall, it seems to me that it will be nearly impossible for Dems to draw a 5-1 map and that they'll need to concede 1 swing district at the very least, or possibly even 2 swing districts or one Safe R district (depends on how things go)

OR-03 is waaaaay too Dem.  That should be brought down to D+15 at most.

Why? It is a compact Portland district? I guess you can move it around slightly but splitting Portland would be too obvious of a gerrymander?

[Former President tack50]

For fun, here is a theoretical R gerrymander of Oregon. Ends up as a 3-3 map, so it should be fair /s

Should be fairly self-explainatory



District 2 is Trump+15, R+8
District 4 is Trump+17, R+9
District 6 is Trump+13, R+7

[Former President tack50]

Here's a fair state Senate map

https://davesredistricting.org/join/ef8f534b-30cd-4527-ab7b-da36c73b3549



Portland inset



Per DRA there are 6 Republican districts, 8 Democratic districts and 16! competitive districts

The median districts would be districts 5 and 3. District 5 is a Medford+Ashland district that is D+3 and Clinton+7. District 3 is the district centered around Bend, which is Clinton+3, R+1