VA-Mason Dixon: Only Biden ahead of Trump

[Bidenworth2020]

Am I the only one who does not buy that Trump is only down 4 to Biden, despite him being at +18 according to this poll and Trump being at -3

[Bidenworth2020]

It's really hard to see how Trump can being down by 2 in Florida while he is only down by 4 in Virginia. It's not 2012 anymore.

And LOL at the fact that Trump would defeat Sanders by 6 in a state that has not voted for a republican candidate since 2009.

True, but these are seriously worrying numbers for a general regardless. Biden is our only hope.

[Bidenworth2020]

I'm skeptical of any poll that says Trump is leading in Virginia after the GOP got their asses handed to them there in 2018, and they lost the 2019 State House elections by 9.4%. and the 2019 State Senate elections by 13.4%.

That's not accurate, you have to take into account contested seats, in the contested seats the average GOP margin in the senate was 1.5% better than Trump. https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1191948895926063105

You can also look at the contested seats and compare their margin to 2016 which for the VA Senate in available on Daily Kos and the improvement is 1.5%.

Is your suggestion that Trump is going to make marked improvements in NOVA and Richmond suburbs.