VA-Gov 2021: Herring for AG after submitting to resident political overlord T-MAC

[LtNOWIS]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

[Lognog]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

So with all this fundraising for Tmac, is it a certainty he runs

[LtNOWIS]

So with all this fundraising for Tmac, is it a certainty he runs

Not a certainty but highly likely.

[Lognog]

So with all this fundraising for Tmac, is it a certainty he runs

Not a certainty but highly likely.

Would he have any other reason to start fundraising right now

[LtNOWIS]

Would he have any other reason to start fundraising right now

Well in his case it's all PAC money. If he prefers to take a spot in the Biden administration, all the money is still there for him to spread around as he pleases or save for a future race.

But that being said, I do think he'd rather be governor again than work in the Biden administration. Especially when Biden has no particular reason to offer him a top position.

[Mycool]

https://www.pilotonline.com/government/virginia/vp-nw-andria-mcclellan-lieutenant-governor-announces-20200722-yq2qf7hqzfg5pb6qavdhlnfrkm-story.html

The fact that so many Dems want to run is a good early sign. Both Gov and Lt Gov seem like they'll be real races.

[slothdem]

https://www.pilotonline.com/government/virginia/vp-nw-andria-mcclellan-lieutenant-governor-announces-20200722-yq2qf7hqzfg5pb6qavdhlnfrkm-story.html

The fact that so many Dems want to run is a good early sign. Both Gov and Lt Gov seem like they'll be real races.

I don't think I know any GOP operative in the state who thinks they have a real shot at any of the three posts, even during a Biden presidency. The damage done in the DC and Richmond suburbs is just too significant.

[jamestroll]

https://www.pilotonline.com/government/virginia/vp-nw-andria-mcclellan-lieutenant-governor-announces-20200722-yq2qf7hqzfg5pb6qavdhlnfrkm-story.html

The fact that so many Dems want to run is a good early sign. Both Gov and Lt Gov seem like they'll be real races.

I don't think I know any GOP operative in the state who thinks they have a real shot at any of the three posts, even during a Biden presidency. The damage done in the DC and Richmond suburbs is just too significant.

At this point I even think Lee Carter could win a statewide race.

Right now I have VA-Gov as Solid Dem and Lt. Gov and Attorney General as Lean Dem.

[Sir Mohamed]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

McAuliffe hasn't announced though?

Mark Herring having raised 24k $ as a sitting state AG is kind of embarrassing compared to state legislators with little name rec who raised sums up to 30+ times as much.

[Mycool]

https://www.pilotonline.com/government/virginia/vp-nw-andria-mcclellan-lieutenant-governor-announces-20200722-yq2qf7hqzfg5pb6qavdhlnfrkm-story.html

The fact that so many Dems want to run is a good early sign. Both Gov and Lt Gov seem like they'll be real races.

I don't think I know any GOP operative in the state who thinks they have a real shot at any of the three posts, even during a Biden presidency. The damage done in the DC and Richmond suburbs is just too significant.

At this point I even think Lee Carter could win a statewide race.

Right now I have VA-Gov as Solid Dem and Lt. Gov and Attorney General as Lean Dem.

Yeah, Democrats have traded margins in areas with shrinking/stagnating populations for areas with growing populations. It's been remarkable to see the GOP reacting by nominating people like Stewart and probably Chase, which doesn't help them win over anyone.

[Roll Roons]

I have long said that Republicans are more likely to flip New Jersey than Virginia in 2021, and I stand by that. Especially since there is minimal chance of Fairfax winning the primary and Amanda Chase is the likely GOP nominee. No state party is more self-defeating than the VAGOP. To think they once produced John Warner.

[Torrain]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

McAuliffe hasn't announced though?

Mark Herring having raised 24k $ as a sitting state AG is kind of embarrassing compared to state legislators with little name rec who raised sums up to 30+ times as much.

Yeah, it's a bad look for Herring's chances.

That being said, I think his candidacy has been dead ever since the blackface scandal. In a state with as many potential candidates as Virginia, I think he's vastly overstated his own political profile.

He'd have a decent chance at holding onto the AG spot for at least another term, but his mind is clearly set on the Governor's office. If he stuck around for another 4 years, there's a chance that his efforts as AG could rehabilitate his image.

Instead, he's going to crash and burn out of the Governor's primary, never to be heard of again.

[President Johnson]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

McAuliffe hasn't announced though?

Mark Herring having raised 24k $ as a sitting state AG is kind of embarrassing compared to state legislators with little name rec who raised sums up to 30+ times as much.

Yeah, it's a bad look for Herring's chances.

That being said, I think his candidacy has been dead ever since the blackface scandal. In a state with as many potential candidates as Virginia, I think he's vastly overstated his own political profile.

He'd have a decent chance at holding onto the AG spot for at least another term, but his mind is clearly set on the Governor's office. If he stuck around for another 4 years, there's a chance that his efforts as AG could rehabilitate his image.

Instead, he's going to crash and burn out of the Governor's primary, never to be heard of again.

I could see him drop out and run for governor again if T-Mac makes an entry.

Glad to see Fairfax is doing poorly and Carroll Foy has great numbers. Go, Jennifer!

[slothdem]

I have long said that Republicans are more likely to flip New Jersey than Virginia in 2021, and I stand by that. Especially since there is minimal chance of Fairfax winning the primary and Amanda Chase is the likely GOP nominee. No state party is more self-defeating than the VAGOP. To think they once produced John Warner.

This is an exaggeration. As bad as things are for the GOP in Virginia, the situation in New Jersey is even more dire. And that's before the fact that the NJ GOP has insanely decided to run as the "open everything up" party.

[Roll Roons]

I have long said that Republicans are more likely to flip New Jersey than Virginia in 2021, and I stand by that. Especially since there is minimal chance of Fairfax winning the primary and Amanda Chase is the likely GOP nominee. No state party is more self-defeating than the VAGOP. To think they once produced John Warner.

This is an exaggeration. As bad as things are for the GOP in Virginia, the situation in New Jersey is even more dire. And that's before the fact that the NJ GOP has insanely decided to run as the "open everything up" party.

New Jersey still has the highest per capita death rate in the country, in part due to the nursing home policy. It's not exactly smart or viable to run as the "pro-lockdown" party either. We'll see what happens when there's a vaccine.

[Torrain]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

McAuliffe hasn't announced though?

Mark Herring having raised 24k $ as a sitting state AG is kind of embarrassing compared to state legislators with little name rec who raised sums up to 30+ times as much.

Yeah, it's a bad look for Herring's chances.

That being said, I think his candidacy has been dead ever since the blackface scandal. In a state with as many potential candidates as Virginia, I think he's vastly overstated his own political profile.

He'd have a decent chance at holding onto the AG spot for at least another term, but his mind is clearly set on the Governor's office. If he stuck around for another 4 years, there's a chance that his efforts as AG could rehabilitate his image.

Instead, he's going to crash and burn out of the Governor's primary, never to be heard of again.

I could see him drop out and run for governor again if T-Mac makes an entry.

Glad to see Fairfax is doing poorly and Carroll Foy has great numbers. Go, Jennifer!

Yeah, Herring running for re-election to AG is the only way to keep himself afloat politically at this point. Even if Tim Kaine were to resign tomorrow, he couldn't get into the Senate, because the House delegation has too many fresh faces. I have to imagine that Wexton and Spanberger have a far greater chance at appointment/winning a primary than him.

[LtNOWIS]

Virginia’s Riggleman Says He’s Considering Bid for Governor

Congressman Riggleman is thinking about running. Not necessarily as a Republican.

[Horus]

Virginia’s Riggleman Says He’s Considering Bid for Governor

Congressman Riggleman is thinking about running. Not necessarily as a Republican.

Riggleman should do anything and everything he can to hurt the state GOP. he's a decent guy and they did him dirty.

[Left Wing]

Riggleman would keep it within ten points

[slothdem]

Riggleman would keep it within ten points

Not if he was on the Libertarian ticket.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Virginia’s Riggleman Says He’s Considering Bid for Governor

Congressman Riggleman is thinking about running. Not necessarily as a Republican.

Riggleman should do anything and everything he can to hurt the state GOP. he's a decent guy and they did him dirty.

Riggleman trying to sabotage the VA GOP would basically be a "stop, he's already dead!" moment.

(and yes this is true even in a 2022 Biden-tastrophe midterm)

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/VaPoliticalNews/status/1290090288115937280?s=20

Does he really think he could defeat Chase in a primary? He's got way too much baggage that can be attacked from the right...and the left if he gets that far.

[lfromnj]

Virginia’s Riggleman Says He’s Considering Bid for Governor

Congressman Riggleman is thinking about running. Not necessarily as a Republican.

Endorsed !

[Former President tack50]

Virginia’s Riggleman Says He’s Considering Bid for Governor

Congressman Riggleman is thinking about running. Not necessarily as a Republican.

If he ran as an indy, how well would he do?

[Fuzzy Bear]

VPAP has a nice visual on the fundraising of all of the gubernatorial candidates (official accounts and PACs). It shows the money raised in the first half of 2020, and their cash on hand as of June 30.

I can't post the link, but here's the data:

Terry McAuliffe: $1,689,000 raised, $1,594,000 on hand

Jennifer Carroll Foy: $811,000 raised, $696,000 on hand

Jennifer McClellan: $490,000 raised, $411,000 on hand

Amanda Chase: $227,000 raised, $191,000 on hand

Mark Herring: $24,000 raised, $392,000 on hand

Justin Fairfax: $19,000 raised, $85,000 on hand

Bill Carrico: $0 raised, $7,000 on hand.



For me, the big takeaway is that I have do not have to fear Justin Fairfax getting the Dem nomination, even with a split field. While some Dems are willing to tolerate him and invite him to events now, he is not seen as a credible candidate for governor.

McAuliffe hasn't announced though?

Mark Herring having raised 24k $ as a sitting state AG is kind of embarrassing compared to state legislators with little name rec who raised sums up to 30+ times as much.

Yeah, it's a bad look for Herring's chances.

That being said, I think his candidacy has been dead ever since the blackface scandal. In a state with as many potential candidates as Virginia, I think he's vastly overstated his own political profile.

He'd have a decent chance at holding onto the AG spot for at least another term, but his mind is clearly set on the Governor's office. If he stuck around for another 4 years, there's a chance that his efforts as AG could rehabilitate his image.

Instead, he's going to crash and burn out of the Governor's primary, never to be heard of again.

McAuliffe is a giant amongst Lilliputians in fund-raising. 

It's hard to see him not being elected.