Ohio redistricting thread (user search)
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  Ohio redistricting thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ohio redistricting thread  (Read 88339 times)
Schiff for Senate
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« on: June 04, 2021, 03:34:34 PM »

[If Democrats had a trifecta instead of Republicans] A map with 8 Clinton and 7 Trump districts (although it must be said that only 5 of these districts cast more votes for Democratic than Republican House candidates in 2016): https://districtr.org/plan/20146.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2022, 04:16:57 PM »

Obviously it's extremely sloppy and is incomplete - I need to fix the population deviation, make the districts contiguous (there are some tiny islands I missed for sure) and assign the unassigned 8,000 people, but here's my rough draft of a map in OH that prioritizes creating as many competitive seats as possible: https://districtr.org/plan/128290. Here's the broad picture:

Safe D (will stay blue no matter what): 1 (the 12th in Cleveland)
Lean/Likely D (might flip to the GOP, but only in a big wave, and not guaranteed even then): 1 (the 7th, Columbus + western suburbs/exurbs)
Tilt D or Tossup: 4 (the 2nd in Cincinatti; the 6th in Columbus and swaths of land to its south; the 10th which is an extremely gerrymandered and barely contiguous district that stretches across most of OH's northern border and includes part of western Cuyahoga; the 13th in northeast OH)
Tilt R or Tossup: 3 (the 1st in Cincinatti+Dayton; the 5th in Columbus and its northeast suburbs/exurbs; the 14th in northeast OH)
Lean/Likely R (might flip to the Democrats, but only in a massive wave, and would be tough to win): 2 (the 9th in northwest OH including most of Toledo; the 15th in northeast OH)
Safe R (will stay red no matter what): 5 (the 3rd in southern OH; the 4th along the Ohio River / Appalachia / the OH-WV border; the 8th in western OH; the 11th in rural north-central OH)
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2022, 01:24:17 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2022, 07:24:32 PM by CentristRepublican »

Blue gerrymander - https://districtr.org/plan/128422



EDIT: SAME STORY: Had another map I wanted to save/share on here, but I didn't want to bump up the whole thread just for that, so I'll just post it here. https://districtr.org/plan/145597. Initially my only real goal was to create a few Clinton/Trump districts (to be precise - two Clinton-Trump districts and a Trump-Biden district), but what I ended up was a bunch of very competitive districts that flipped between blue and red. Also mentioning % margins here since Districtr might remove them (all figures are from two-way vote share between Clinton/Biden and Trump). Skipped the totally and entirely irrelevant/uncompetitive districts.

OH01: Cincinatti - went from giving Trump 50.08% of vote in 2016 to giving Biden 51.76% in 2020.
OH02: Cincinatti western suburbs - gave Trump 59.2% in 2016; 55.8% in 2020.
OH03: Dayton area - gave Trump 56.59% in 2016; and 54.75% in 2020.
OH04: Parts of Columbus area, but also rural swaths of territory in western OH north of Dayton - 54.4% for Trump in 2016; 53.94% for him in 2020
OH05: Columbus and northern suburbs - 55.66% for Clinton; 58.71% for Biden
OH06: Safe R; rural OH
OH07: Columbus and southern suburbs and exurbs - very narrowly for Trump twice - 50.65% in 2016; 50.25% in 2020
OH08: Toledo and other areas in NW OH - Clinton/Trump district - 50.65% for her in 2016; 50.25% for him in 2020
OH09: Safe R; awkwardly-shaped seat in northern OH
OH10: Safe R; along the Ohio River and similar to Bill Johnson's very R-trending 6th district (which IRL had the hardest swing to the right from 2012 to 2016, swinging 30 points right)
OH11: Youngstown+Akron+Canton - initially meant to be a Clinton/Trump seat - 50.93% for Clinton; 50.44% for Biden
OH12: Eastern Cuyahoga plus Northeast OH - 53.84% for Clinton; 52.13% for Biden
OH13: Cleveland area - 69.09% for Clinton; 67.05% for Biden
OH14: Western Cuyahoga and areas to the south of that - 50.91% for Trump in 2016; razor-thin 50.01% for Trump in 2020
OH15: Safe R

EDIT: 9-6 Democratic 'mander: https://districtr.org/plan/149483. Same 9 seats for Clinton and Biden - but all 15 districts for Portman in the 2016 senate election.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2023, 07:13:10 PM »



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