Ohio redistricting thread

[LimoLiberal]

The most Republican district I could make on DistrictR with the city of Cincinnati + blood-red rurals was Trump +4.

[LimoLiberal]

The most Republican district I could make on DistrictR with the city of Cincinnati + blood-red rurals was Trump +4.

Did you include for 2018 pop and 15 districts?, best idea is to trace that district.

Oops I did not know Ohio was projected to lose a district. I'll try it again. Are there restrictions on county splits with the new commission?

[LimoLiberal]

The most Republican district I could make on DistrictR with the city of Cincinnati + blood-red rurals was Trump +4.

Did you include for 2018 pop and 15 districts?, best idea is to trace that district.

Oops I did not know Ohio was projected to lose a district. I'll try it again. Are there restrictions on county splits with the new commission?

Hamilton is allowed to be split in this area other counties aren't
edit:  Butler should probably be allowed to be split too and Clermont maybe and not sure about Warren.



If you gonna calculate it anyway do me a favor and calculate this green district. District Looks around Trump +4.5 eyeballing it with obama 08 51.7 and Mccain 46.9 and an R+2.00 PVI when every county in this district trended D in 2012 and Scioto swung D and im pretty sure Cinci should have swung D in 2012 due to black turnout, so im eyeballing an even even PVI in 2012 which means R+4 or Clinton +2-8 which is Trump +6 and then I am probably overestimating it so its around Trump +4.5 to 5.

This district is equalized for 2018 pop.

Here you go:

https://districtr.org/edit/3689

Trump +4.44

[LimoLiberal]

The most Republican district I could make on DistrictR with the city of Cincinnati + blood-red rurals was Trump +4.

Did you include for 2018 pop and 15 districts?, best idea is to trace that district.

Oops I did not know Ohio was projected to lose a district. I'll try it again. Are there restrictions on county splits with the new commission?

Hamilton is allowed to be split in this area other counties aren't
edit:  Butler should probably be allowed to be split too and Clermont maybe and not sure about Warren.



If you gonna calculate it anyway do me a favor and calculate this green district. District Looks around Trump +4.5 eyeballing it with obama 08 51.7 and Mccain 46.9 and an R+2.00 PVI when every county in this district trended D in 2012 and Scioto swung D and im pretty sure Cinci should have swung D in 2012 due to black turnout, so im eyeballing an even even PVI in 2012 which means R+4 or Clinton +2-8 which is Trump +6 and then I am probably overestimating it so its around Trump +4.5 to 5.

This district is equalized for 2018 pop.

Here you go:

https://districtr.org/edit/3689

Trump +4.44

Thanks a lot


Actually forgot about west Cinci burbs probably being equivalent to the deep south, the most eastern county is actually only Trump 66% but I think this might be closer to Trump 75% with better turnout.(BTW city splits are forced here due to DRA precincts but split precincts I think are still legal so just pretend the cities aren't split here.

edit: Wow just checked roughly and its around trump 78%. Scioto county is Trump 66% but has a very skewed PVI of R+11 due to Obama almost winning it in it in 2012 so replacing those 70k people with these 70k should boost Ohio 1st to Trump +5 or even +5.5, which is actually the current form.

Considering the current Ohio 1st is around there Chabot would be relatively happy with that.

I just made a Trump +8 district using the East Cincy burbs 

[LimoLiberal]

https://districtr.org/edit/3690

Trump +8 using the city of Cincinnati and the West Cincinnati burbs and some deep red counties to the east.

[LimoLiberal]

https://districtr.org/edit/3690

Trump +8 using the city of Cincinnati and the East Cincinnati burbs and some deep red counties to the east.

You mean West Cinci burbs as I see on the map?
Anyway I think its still "legal" and possible to gerrymander Cincinatti out of its rightful representation.

Yeah, that's what I meant.

I had no idea western Hamilton county was so Republican. Seems like it's very white and lower middle class.

[LimoLiberal]

Would something like this get Dem votes on the commission?




I tried to keep districts as close to the map that was struck down as possible while addressing the court's complaints.

OH-01: Clinton +9/Biden +14, takes in most of 2 & 8's territory in Hamilton County, loses Warren County. Chabot relocates to K street.

OH-02: Trump +41/Trump +39, loses its chunk of Hamilton County, takes in Warren, takes in Clinton from 15 as 15 contracts, loses territory to the east to compensate

OH-03: Clinton+44/Biden +47, similar to before, Franklin County portions of Columbus and the bluest suburbs

OH-04: Trump +41/Trump +43, loses Delaware County to the new 15, picks up territory from 12 in the east to compensate

OH-05: Trump +23/Trump +25, some small reshuffling of its borders with 4 & 8

OH-06: Trump +19/Trump +23, identical to before

OH-07: Trump +25/Trump +25, takes in Medina County as 13 shifts east, takes in geographically closer towns in Summit County compared to the prior configuration

OH-08: Trump +35/Trump +34, loses most of its chunk of Hamilton County and takes in bits of 4, 5, and 15's territory to compensate

OH-09: Trump +2/Trump +4, identical to before

OH-10: Trump +6/Trump +4, identical to before

OH-11: Clinton +68/Biden +65, similar to before, takes in some western shore towns, 43% Black VAP

OH-12: Trump +31/Trump +34, drops south to pick up territory from 2 & 15

OH-13: Clinton +5/Biden +7, similar to before but loses Medina County and takes in more of Summit County to address court's complaints, Anthony Gonzalez is retiring anyways.

OH-14: Trump +8/Trump +8, similar to before, some town reshuffling to accommodate 13's shift

OH-15: Trump +5/Biden +2, because Delaware and Franklin combined are 40,000 short of exactly two CDs I think the court will be skeptical of any map that has them in 3+. This new configuration pairs Delaware and Madison counties with the northern, western, and southern suburbs of Columbus as well as some of the "reddest" parts of the city.

[LimoLiberal]

Would something like this get Dem votes on the commission?

illegal, can't have that double cross in Columbus. Also one whole county in each district or entirely within 1 district so the Cuyahoga Akron district is a no go.

RIP I forgot about the county rules.

[LimoLiberal]

Once again, why are Butler and Warren in separate districts?

I'm just going off the proposed map, which had Butler, Warren, and Clermont in three separate districts.