What Is The Most Likely Way That Dems Would Carry FL In The Prez Race Again?
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  What Is The Most Likely Way That Dems Would Carry FL In The Prez Race Again?
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Author Topic: What Is The Most Likely Way That Dems Would Carry FL In The Prez Race Again?  (Read 703 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« on: December 23, 2019, 05:04:51 PM »

I’d say sometime within the next couple of decades dems would have the best chance with a rising star like CCM, Ben Lujan, Hector Balderas, Debbie Mucarsel, Stephanie Murphy, (would have said Kihuen and Soto before their goof ups), so yeah, moderate image hispanic dems for the most part.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2019, 08:28:18 PM »
« Edited: December 23, 2019, 08:42:27 PM by MT Treasurer »

No idea, it’s so Titanium R I don’t think anything would shatter their R+0.126548% ceiling.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2019, 08:29:32 PM »

No idea, it’s so Titanium R I don’t think anything would shatter their D+0.126548% ceiling.

That works tho, what I meant is even if you can win it by literally one vote it counts
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: December 23, 2019, 11:45:04 PM »

It seems that one key would be to register more voters into the Democratic Party, especially among Puerto Rican transplants in the Orlando area. Remember that Democrats have lost over 400K net voters in the state over the past decade or so, and FL is a state where small differences in margins here and there can matter a lot in terms of who wins a race.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: December 24, 2019, 11:48:32 PM »

Overall it is quite likely (much more than most people seem to think) that Dems will carry Florida in 2020.

Florida is basically the #1 case study for a state which is set up to be better for Republicans than in midterms, because of its unique demographics. The GOP base, in Florida more than anywhere else, is olds. Guess who doesn't drop off in midterms? Olds. Guess who does drop off in midterms? Youngs and non-whites. And the Democratic base in Florida is particularly skewed towards Youngs and non-whites (and less towards College Educated Whites than in other states where Dems did well in the midterms). There is probably no state in the country where you would expect, based on the demographics of each party's bases, for there to be a larger difference between midterm Democratic performance and Presidential year Democratic performance.

As such, it is quite likely that Dems will benefit from increased turnout (and then again will do quite a bit worse than that in 2022). In addition, Dems are likely to benefit from ex-felons (who are disproportionately African American) no longer being disenfranchised, which was not the case in 2018.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #5 on: December 25, 2019, 01:50:56 AM »

Better messaging with the growing Hispanic/Latino population.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: December 25, 2019, 12:00:02 PM »

Or just nominate Biden and ur done.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: December 25, 2019, 03:03:37 PM »
« Edited: December 25, 2019, 03:06:59 PM by Cory Booker »

Dems will win FL in 2020, PR still wants statehood.  Florida is R at the Gov  level, due to the no income tax at the state level, but Gwen Graham should of won 2018
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