Predict Trump's New York City vote percentage in 2020

[TarHeelDem]

16%.

[Frenchrepublican]

Quick question here...besides Staten Island, why is it that Queens tends to be the most friendly borough for Republicans? Reagan got like 45% there in 84, and the GOP has usually been at least 20-25% there.

Middle class white voters

[Frenchrepublican]

Staten Island- 58-40 win
Brooklyn- 80-17 loss
Queens- 76-22 loss
Manhattan- 90-7 loss
Bronx- 89-8 loss

Overall- 78-20 loss

If Trump is doing so badly in Manhattan I don’t see how he could win 20% in the city as whole

He is making 1-2 point gains in the rest of the city, though it is mostly Johnson voters (and a few Orthodox Jews) coming home.

In 2016 Trump won 9% in the Bronx, 9% in Manhattan 56% in Staten Island, 22% in the Queens, 18% in Brooklyn, but you do not see him improving anywhere except in SI ; how can he wins 20% citywide if he is doing worse than in 2016 in the  4 most populated boroughs of the city ? I don't see.