Morning Consult : Trump trails Biden, Sanders and Bloomberg but leads Warren.

[Frenchrepublican]

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/MCPI_Jan-7.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump chances are improving, that's why Bernie is going up and Biden is going down, because Biden isnt gonna blow Trump out in a landslide

[Frenchrepublican]

If someone can explains me how Biden can leads Trump by 6 while Sanders leads him by only 2 even if at the same time both are doing similarly among crosstabs groups ??

[Queen Isuelt]

If someone can explains me how Biden can leads Trump by 6 while Sanders leads him by only 2 even if at the same time both are doing similarly among crosstabs groups ??

Terrible online clickbait pollster. Nobody takes it seriously except online media that want to push a narrative.

If you have a large number of voters in the sample that don't know who Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar, Cory Booker but voters who know these also know John Delaney, Michael Bennet. It's straight in the trash.

The poll serves one purpose How well do you know this celebrity?

[ElectionsGuy]

Not a lot you can say when almost a third of independent voters are undecided.

If someone can explains me how Biden can leads Trump by 6 while Sanders leads him by only 2 even if at the same time both are doing similarly among crosstabs groups ??

Maybe its a rounding thing where Biden leads closer to 5 (for ex: 45.6 to 40.4) and Sanders leads by closer to 3.

[Pollster]

Morning Consult is incredibly secretive about their methodology, but it looks like they use a corporate brand tracking style universally, including for their political work. I'm guessing most of their staff (or at least leadership) do not come from political backgrounds. This has some merits but virtually all of them are outweighed by the drawbacks.

The way that people think about corporate brands and the way that they think about politics (especially elections) are incredibly different. Survey questionnaire design and methodology needs to be adjusted to reflect the different social psychologies that people apply to these different situations.

Not dismissing these polls entirely, but there is a lot to be cautious of. I can expand later when I have less on my plate for the day if folks care.