Dukakis's 272 strategy. (user search)
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  Dukakis's 272 strategy. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Dukakis's 272 strategy.  (Read 2026 times)
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,074
United States
« on: December 21, 2019, 11:15:38 PM »

For the record, a uniform swing to a Dukakis EC majority looks like this:



Aside from Ohio it looks like a modern Farmer-Labor Party.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,074
United States
« Reply #1 on: December 22, 2019, 11:32:33 PM »

For the record, a uniform swing to a Dukakis EC majority looks like this:



This might be the last time we will ever see Montana be involved in a minimum democrat victory

Montana was only a lean R state before the Clinton-era "War on the West" environmental battles over timber and mining, two of the most unionized rural resource industries at the time. Both in the 1972 and 1984 landslides Montana was roughly within the national average. JFK and LBJ were only slightly below national average as well. Carter was weak, but he was weak in every Western state.

In addition, while I hate to drip into RINOTOM-ism, it must be noted Montana's WWII/older Silent voters were quite Democratic. In 1996, 48% of over 65 Montanans voted for Bill Clinton and were most likely to do so versus only 38 percent among Gen X. They were also most likely to vote for Max Baucus that year.

https://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/1998/states/MT/polls/MT96PH.html
https://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/1998/states/MT/polls/MT96SH.html
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