Dukakis's 272 strategy. (user search)
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  Dukakis's 272 strategy. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Dukakis's 272 strategy.  (Read 1971 times)
morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,018
United States


« on: December 22, 2019, 12:26:54 AM »

For the record, a uniform swing to a Dukakis EC majority looks like this:



This might be the last time we will ever see Montana be involved in a minimum democrat victory
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,018
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 22, 2019, 08:26:18 PM »

Ironically, and many forget this, but Dukakis came VERY close to making '88 a horse race in the Electoral College. Had he taken CA, PA, IL and MD, he was right there.

Even PA and IL, which he came very close to winning, would have already made the race much closer than many give it credit to being. The closeness of several states is like Carter in his second election in that regard
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,018
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 22, 2019, 09:35:39 PM »

Ironically, and many forget this, but Dukakis came VERY close to making '88 a horse race in the Electoral College. Had he taken CA, PA, IL and MD, he was right there.

Even PA and IL, which he came very close to winning, would have already made the race much closer than many give it credit to being. The closeness of several states is like Carter in his second election in that regard
And those were likely four "Willie Horton" states that he threw away as a result of the furlough disaster.  Maybe not CA since that was the "final gift from Reagan", but definitely the other three.

Even with CA he only lost it by three points. So even with a popular incumbent, Bush barley won it. Take away Reagan, and Dukakis would have easily won it in my mind
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