Predict the Democratic primaries: Iowa edition - Round 3
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  Predict the Democratic primaries: Iowa edition - Round 3
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Author Topic: Predict the Democratic primaries: Iowa edition - Round 3  (Read 316 times)
RGM2609
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« on: December 13, 2019, 03:25:38 PM »

Write down percentage you think Sanders, Biden, Buttigieg and Warren will get in Iowa and I will calculate the arithmetic mean. Please try to keep subjectivity and wishful thinking out of it as much as possible. This ends in a day
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Spark
Spark498
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: December 13, 2019, 03:49:20 PM »

Sanders: 23%
Buttigieg: 20%
Warren: 18%
Biden: 16%
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andjey
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« Reply #2 on: December 13, 2019, 03:50:39 PM »

Pete Buttigieg 21%
Joe Biden 20%
Bernie Sanders 20%
Elizabeth Warren 16%
Amy Klobuchar 12%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: December 13, 2019, 03:58:30 PM »

Is this predicting the percentage they'll get from initial preferences or after reallocation in each precinct?  Remember that the latter is all the Iowa Dems have ever released in past caucuses, but this time they'll be releasing both sets of numbers.
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RGM2609
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« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2019, 04:53:57 PM »

Is this predicting the percentage they'll get from initial preferences or after reallocation in each precinct?  Remember that the latter is all the Iowa Dems have ever released in past caucuses, but this time they'll be releasing both sets of numbers.

Initial preferences, so to keep it simple.
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redjohn
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« Reply #5 on: December 13, 2019, 06:23:13 PM »

Sanders: 26%
Buttigieg: 24%
Biden: 16%
Warren: 15%
Klobuchar: 8%
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #6 on: December 14, 2019, 11:01:39 AM »

This is so hard. At this point, the four contenders can still win it. We don't have an idea what is going on in Iowa anymore.
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RGM2609
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« Reply #7 on: December 14, 2019, 11:52:29 AM »

Please give your estimates as soon as possible
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