#IAMoreLikelyToFlipThanFLandGA
#IAAsCompetitiveAsWI
#IATossupButOHSafeR
It’s certainly possible that IA trends 1-3% Democratic in 2020 (similar to NV 2008-2012 if you want an analogy or "redux"), but there’s no way the state is a pure Tossup in a close race or that Trump is more likely to lose IA than FL or GA. This is a ridiculous take.
I think Iowa will be slightly to the left of GA if Pete Buttigeg is the nominee. Pete consistently polls poorly with black people while polling great with white people. I don't think this will change much in a GE.