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« on: December 11, 2019, 12:13:28 AM » |
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I'm very sceptical of polls like this showing Trump's approval is lower in Iowa than Wisconsin, Marquette has Trump's approval at 47% in Wisconsin, it's not really possible it's only 45% on Iowa.
Iowa is basically a smaller and more Republican version of Wisconsin, it's whiter, it's more rural, fewer big metro area's and 1.3% less of it's adult population has a bachelor's degree or higher. Whatever happens in 2020, Iowa is guaranteed to vote more Republican than Wisconsin so I can't really see how Trump's approval is only 45% in Iowa if it's 47% in Wisconsin.
With that being said, it's good news for Trump he's hitting 49-50% of the vote against all the democrats except Buttigieg despite only being at 45% approval, I can see him getting around 53-54% of the vote in Iowa next year and winning it 53-45 or 54-44 since his real approval rating in Iowa is likely closer to 50%, a few points higher than Wisconsin.
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