Iowa- Emerson: Trump +1 vs Pete, +4 vs Biden, +7 vs warren/sanders

[MT Treasurer]

#IAMoreLikelyToFlipThanFLandGA
#IAAsCompetitiveAsWI
#IATossupButOHSafeR

It’s certainly possible that IA trends 1-3% Democratic in 2020 (similar to NV 2008-2012 if you want an analogy or "redux"), but there’s no way the state is a pure Tossup in a close race or that Trump is more likely to lose IA than FL or GA. This is a ridiculous take.

[MT Treasurer]

Someone would have to be on drugs to say Trump is more likely to lose IA than Florida. I can see someone saying that about GA (though I would disagree, especially after 2018 cemented 2016 trends), but I can't imagine anyone on this forum saying the former.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=349920.0

I know it sounds like a straw man, but it isn’t.

[MT Treasurer]

Lean R. It's Memerson and 11 months to go, but if Dems can't win IA where Mr. Trump's approval rating is underwater by double digits, it's concerning.

No, it’s not underwater by double digits, it’s just that Morning Consult is a trash pollster (he’s not more unpopular in IA than in VA either).

His approval rating in this poll is -1 (45/46), opposition to impeachment is at +12 (50/38). Much more believable than Morning Consult's numbers.