Lean R. Why do so many people think a district (also the state as a whole) where Trump is overwhelmingly likely to improve his margin is more likely to vote for a Democrat in the House who won by <1% in a wave midterm? Apparently all a district needs for a Democrat to win are suburbs that "are zooming to the left"?
It literally split its ticket for a Democrat while Romney was crushing by 40% in 2012, just how much do you think Trump’s going to improve his margin by (and it’s not even a guarantee that he will)? Mia Love actually underperformed Trump’s margin in 2016 (albeit with a much better topline performance). While it only narrowly flipped Dem in a Dem wave, it also only narrowly flipped Republican in a Republican wave.
This district is a serious contender for being the least connected to national environment in 2020 if its past is any indicator.
Uh yes he will improve his margin lol. It has utah county too which is 51% Trump 33% Mcmuffin and17% Clinton. I predict 55% Trump 39% D and the rest 3rd party. This is similar Mccains 2008 numbers which is what I expect.
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