1) Biden will be the nominee.
2) This is a fairly GOP-friendly pollster.
3) Democrats tend to outperform their pre-election polling in AZ.
4) Trump is clearly doing worse here than in several Obama/Trump Midwestern states.
Like WI for Democrats, this is not a state Republicans should count on.
OMG THIS POLL IS TRUTH
*Trump leads in Arizona*
Junk, D trending state is Lean D, *mental gymnastics*
Yeah, Trump leading by 2% in a state where polling has underestimated Democratic strength recently in a poll which had McSally winning is surely good news for him. Clearly this poll/2018/"""elasticity""" means that the Republican-trending Trump +9 state is more likely to flip than the Romney +9/Trump +3 state.
Funny how 2018 matters in AZ but it doesnt matter in FL. I agee though AZ is clearly more likely to flip than IA though it is not more likely to flip than PA or MI.
