Annatar
Jr. Member
Posts: 984
|
 |
« on: December 09, 2019, 09:32:55 AM » |
|
I would make 2 points.
1. Politics and winning elections is the one area in which thinking long term never makes sense, party bases and voting behaviours by group change and realign so rapidly that absorbing a loss today for a potential gain tomorrow is never a good idea, in politics short termism makes sense, you try and win every election you can and don't worry about the negative consequences of victory. What's important is winning the next election, any kind of strategy based off losing today to win tomorrow is bound to fail owing again to the unpredictability of politics, the only safe and rational course of action is to try and win every election.
2. The party that controls the WH always loses races down-ballot, that's just a feature of politics, nobody has figured out a way around that, when a party takes the WH one trade-off it accepts is that it will lose races at the federal and state level. Independents always vote against the incumbent party excepting extraordinary circumstances such as those that occurred in 2002, having the presidency and losing seats is a the trade-off both parties accept and the potential gains from a presidency outweigh losses in seats owing to what a president can do, not least confirm judges with the Senate.
|
