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March 02, 2021, 10:09:31 PM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  Will Trump do better in the 2020 election than 2016?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Will he?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 74

Author Topic: Will Trump do better in the 2020 election than 2016?  (Read 1464 times)
krb08
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« Reply #25 on: December 14, 2019, 10:38:25 AM »
I don't think so. He could definitely win reelection but it'd probably be by a smaller margin than 2016.

Quote from: SN2903 on December 12, 2019, 11:37:57 PM
Quote from: morgankingsley on December 12, 2019, 11:24:23 PM
If he does it will only be by Minnesota and new Hampshire and every thing else is fantasy
no it isn't.  340 350 ev is in play because of impeachment

There is zero chance Trump will win over 340 electoral votes in 2020 without a significant third party candidate. The only way he could get there is through Virginia or New Mexico, and neither of them are flipping in any realistic scenario.
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SN2903
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« Reply #26 on: December 14, 2019, 11:12:10 AM »
Quote from: krb08 on December 14, 2019, 10:38:25 AM
I don't think so. He could definitely win reelection but it'd probably be by a smaller margin than 2016.

Quote from: SN2903 on December 12, 2019, 11:37:57 PM
Quote from: morgankingsley on December 12, 2019, 11:24:23 PM
If he does it will only be by Minnesota and new Hampshire and every thing else is fantasy
no it isn't.  340 350 ev is in play because of impeachment

There is zero chance Trump will win over 340 electoral votes in 2020 without a significant third party candidate. The only way he could get there is through Virginia or New Mexico, and neither of them are flipping in any realistic scenario.
VA is in play if Biden is not the nominee.
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