Will there be any Democratic senators left representing... (user search)
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  Will there be any Democratic senators left representing... (search mode)
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Poll
Question: The old Confederacy, sans Virginia?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: Will there be any Democratic senators left representing...  (Read 2166 times)
OBD
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,579
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -6.26
« on: December 08, 2019, 01:12:47 PM »
Going to say yes because...

NC has about a 35% chance of flipping

Both GA seats have about a 35% chance of flipping (could be higher or lower pending the candidate)

TX has about a 15% chance of flipping

AL has about a 5% chance of NOT flipping

In terms of probability, it seems likely (a 78% chance) that at least one of these will flip (though I admit this is a bit of a flawed approach to this problem).
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