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March 08, 2021, 01:31:03 AM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  Will there be any Democratic senators left representing...
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Poll
Question: The old Confederacy, sans Virginia?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: Will there be any Democratic senators left representing...  (Read 1703 times)
Sen. Mark Meadows
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« Reply #25 on: December 09, 2019, 09:22:17 PM »

Quote
Probably slightly more likely than not that there wonít be any, but honestly, even if thatís the case, it will only be for two years. Thereís no way in hell Republicans hold the GA seat in a Trump midterm, and even in a Biden midterm it would be vulnerable.

They....already did exactly that with every other statewide office?

Yeah, how could Democrats possibly find another 50k votes in Georgia of all places between 2018 and 2022? Literally impossible, even in another Democratic wave. At best they lose by 0.1264579%.

It's not impossible. But it's super dumb to say it's inevitable, or that Republicans have no way in hell of holding it.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #26 on: December 10, 2019, 01:49:47 AM »

It's not impossible. But it's super dumb to say it's inevitable, or that Republicans have no way in hell of holding it.

I went a little too far there, but Democrats would almost certainly be favored to win the seat, even if only slightly. Either way, Iím not sure someone who thinks NV is Tilt R in 2020 (a super dumb prediction) and that AZ/GA voted/will vote "10 points to the right of WI" (a super dumb statement) should be one to call other people's predictions dumb.
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Sen. Mark Meadows
Haley/Ryan
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« Reply #27 on: December 10, 2019, 02:05:52 AM »

It's not impossible. But it's super dumb to say it's inevitable, or that Republicans have no way in hell of holding it.

I went a little too far there, but Democrats would almost certainly be favored to win the seat, even if only slightly. Either way, Iím not sure someone who thinks NV is Tilt R in 2020 (a super dumb prediction) and that AZ/GA voted/will vote "10 points to the right of WI" (a super dumb statement) should be one to call other people's predictions dumb.

I never said they will. I said they did, and that we should pay attention to election results > feelings. And Tilt R Nevada is a clear exaggeration yeah, but it's nothing compared to the BS solid D Nevada narrative being perpetuated by some users here.
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jimmie
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« Reply #28 on: December 10, 2019, 05:38:45 AM »

It's not impossible. But it's super dumb to say it's inevitable, or that Republicans have no way in hell of holding it.

I went a little too far there, but Democrats would almost certainly be favored to win the seat, even if only slightly. Either way, Iím not sure someone who thinks NV is Tilt R in 2020 (a super dumb prediction) and that AZ/GA voted/will vote "10 points to the right of WI" (a super dumb statement) should be one to call other people's predictions dumb.

I never said they will. I said they did, and that we should pay attention to election results > feelings. And Tilt R Nevada is a clear exaggeration yeah, but it's nothing compared to the BS solid D Nevada narrative being perpetuated by some users here.

Nevada had multiple close statewide races (State Treasurer, Secretary of State and Attorney General) in the midterm elections and was right on the national average in the 2016 elections. I do not know about you all but I do consider it a highly competitive state but it is challenging finding the last few votes for the GOP to win there.

Heller lost by a solid but competitive margin. But let's all remember he won in 2012 over this person:



But overall Clark County is just too dominant and Washoe County is too unreliable for the GOP for the Republicans to have many outright victories in Nevada.
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Laki
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« Reply #29 on: December 10, 2019, 09:17:32 AM »

Leaning towards yes, because it seems more likelier than not aggregated that one of them will flip. I give it a 50%.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #30 on: December 10, 2019, 09:21:46 AM »

Yes, winning NC, with Cooper on ballot, but Ds can win Senate with CO and ME and winning a combo of AZ, AL, KS, GA or NC
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #31 on: December 10, 2019, 09:27:44 AM »

Yes, winning NC, with Cooper on ballot, but Ds can win Senate with CO and AZ and winning a combo of ME, AL, KS, GA or NC
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The Daily Beagle
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« Reply #32 on: December 10, 2019, 02:46:02 PM »

If Democrats have another disappointing (Trump wins and maybe gains a little in the senate) or downright disastrous (Democrats are again completely swept out of power) 2020, 2021 will be remembered as the high water mark of the Southern GOP.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #33 on: December 10, 2019, 03:07:39 PM »

Granpappy is spinning in his grave, haha: "The Confederacy, sans its capital!"
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