The “Who is running in 2024?” tea leaves thread

[SCNCmod]

Even if Biden runs- there is a good chance he loses in the Primary. Although this almost never happens... Age/ concern over health capacity ... is one reason that makes this situation different. I also think the risk of losing- is a big reason Biden may end up not running (to ensure he ends long career at President... rather than risk ending a ousted in Primary).

But nationwide polls are very important. The early primaries will set the tone:

The latest NH Primary had Biden in 2nd Place by 1pt (with only 16% support). Harris is in 7th or 8th place with about 6% support.


Also- Iowa isn't naturally fertile ground for Biden. In 2020 Iowa Caucus, he finished 4th (with only 14%). Harris did not meet the threshold to get any votes.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Even if Biden runs- there is a good chance he loses in the Primary. Although this almost never happens... Age/ concern over health capacity ... is one reason that makes this situation different. I also think the risk of losing- is a big reason Biden may end up not running (to ensure he ends long career at President... rather than risk ending a ousted in Primary).

But nationwide polls are very important. The early primaries will set the tone:

The latest NH Primary had Biden in 2nd Place by 1pt (with only 16% support). Harris is in 7th or 8th place with about 6% support.


Also- Iowa isn't naturally fertile ground for Biden. In 2020 Iowa Caucus, he finished 4th (with only 14%). Harris did not meet the threshold to get any votes.

Biden. Will. Not. Lose. A. Primary.

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Even if Biden runs- there is a good chance he loses in the Primary.

This is where I stopped reading. Absolutely 0 chance Biden loses the primary if he runs again. Believing otherwise is pure delusion.

[President Johnson]

Even if Biden runs- there is a good chance he loses in the Primary. Although this almost never happens... Age/ concern over health capacity ... is one reason that makes this situation different. I also think the risk of losing- is a big reason Biden may end up not running (to ensure he ends long career at President... rather than risk ending a ousted in Primary).

But nationwide polls are very important. The early primaries will set the tone:

The latest NH Primary had Biden in 2nd Place by 1pt (with only 16% support). Harris is in 7th or 8th place with about 6% support.


Also- Iowa isn't naturally fertile ground for Biden. In 2020 Iowa Caucus, he finished 4th (with only 14%). Harris did not meet the threshold to get any votes.

Biden. Will. Not. Lose. A. Primary.

There won't even be a serious challenger. Maybe some fringe left-winger like Nina Turner that gets nowhere. Even Liz Warren and Ro Khanna de facto endorsed Biden for reelection.

[President Johnson]

News on Pompeo:

https://twitter.com/ngaudiano/status/1592246097334128642

[NYDem]

Prediction: Mike Pompeo drops out in debt and with 0 delegates after getting 1.3% of the vote in New Hampshire.

Seriously, who is asking for a Mike Pompeo campaign?

[Ferguson97]

Prediction: Mike Pompeo drops out in debt and with 0 delegates after getting 1.3% of the vote in New Hampshire.

Seriously, who is asking for a Mike Pompeo campaign?

He wins all the Langley precincts by Assad margins but doesn’t get a single vote elsewhere.

[US Politics Fanatic]

Mike Pompeo would most likely take votes from Ron De Santis, not Donald Trump.

[Torrain]

Gaetz has pulled out of the Trump event this evening blaming "the weather".
https://twitter.com/FarnoushAmiri/status/1592575055388872705
Sounds like it's going to be a bit quieter than Trump was planning this evening...

[Paloney]

BREAKING NEW ANNOUNCEMENT FOR PRESIDENT!!!!!

ASA HUTCHINSON

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

BREAKING NEW ANNOUNCEMENT FOR PRESIDENT!!!!!

ASA HUTCHINSON

Said he was considering, not announcing.

Another candidate who would be lucky to make it to Iowa.

[Ferguson97]

BREAKING NEW ANNOUNCEMENT FOR PRESIDENT!!!!!

ASA HUTCHINSON

News just says he's considering, it's not an official announcement

[Enduro]

This is the first I'm hearing of Asa Hutchinson.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1592691697288298497

[emailking]

Trump announced.

[leonardothered]

Trump announced.

I don't see how he loses against anyone but Desantis, and that's with a concerted effort against him. The monster has been created and allowed to roam unchecked for too long for there to be a viable candidate against him. Can't naysay him too hard or you alienate the base.

[Enduro]

Trump announced.

I don't see how he loses against anyone but Desantis, and that's with a concerted effort against him. The monster has been created and allowed to roam unchecked for too long for there to be a viable candidate against him. Can't naysay him too hard or you alienate the base.

A lot can happen in two years; in 2014, I thought Rand Paul was gonna be a frontrunner and never even considered Trump.

[US Politics Fanatic]

https://twitter.com/JoelWeingart_/status/1593066261554266113

[henster]

I wonder if Biden opts against running if it becomes apparent DeSantis beats Trump in the primaries. I could see him itching for a rematch against Trump but does he really want to run against someone half his age? But could be wishful thinking.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

https://twitter.com/mikepompeo/status/1593652158754324480

[Grumpier Than Thou]

https://twitter.com/mikepompeo/status/1593652158754324480

Well that's the least subtle thing I've ever seen.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1594191725030801411

[BloJo94]

https://twitter.com/beckyofpa/status/1594303624586338306

[BloJo94]

https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/1593716328627687424

[BloJo94]

https://twitter.com/kanyestreams1/status/1594401203718606848