NJ-2: Van Drew considering switching parties over impeachment

[Frenchrepublican]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1205933239933841408

[OBD]

Well, that's cowardly. Sad to see Van Drew leave because of impeachment.

Tilt D ---> Lean R

[Gass3268]

Don’t let the door hit you on the way out.

[DrScholl]

I wouldn't assume that switching parties will save the seat for him. We aren't talking about a seat in Oklahoma or Kentucky here. He'll lose a lot of the Democratic votes he gets here and will have to rely on gaining Republican leaning ones to get him through. Not impossible, but it's not that easy either.

[Cinemark]

I cant imagine him winning either the republican or the democratic primary at the moment. Not even if Trump endorses him.

[junior chįmp]

Biden will prob still campaign for him

[Lisa's voting Biden]

LOL

[Gracile]

Good riddance, if true.

It sounds like local GOP party officials aren't going to pave the way for him as the Republican nominee, so this party switch may as well end up in a primary defeat.

[Frodo]

Biden will prob still campaign for him

And don't forget about Rep. Henry Cuellar...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If he does it, then he would still be vulnerable to a Dem in next year's election

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Good riddance

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Bye! Hope you get Arlen Spectered.

[Landslide Lyndon]

LOL, what a fool.
Republicans in safe seats retire because being in the minority sucks but he is eager to join them.

[Skill and Chance]

I wouldn't assume that switching parties will save the seat for him. We aren't talking about a seat in Oklahoma or Kentucky here. He'll lose a lot of the Democratic votes he gets here and will have to rely on gaining Republican leaning ones to get him through. Not impossible, but it's not that easy either.

Well, it's not OK/KY, but it swung right about as hard as Ohio did in 2016 and Republicans picked up a bunch of overlapping and nearby state legislative seats this year.  I think this areas is pretty gone for Dems going forward.

[Oryxslayer]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

[LabourJersey]

I wouldn't assume that switching parties will save the seat for him. We aren't talking about a seat in Oklahoma or Kentucky here. He'll lose a lot of the Democratic votes he gets here and will have to rely on gaining Republican leaning ones to get him through. Not impossible, but it's not that easy either.

Well, it's not OK/KY, but it swung right about as hard as Ohio did in 2016 and Republicans picked up a bunch of overlapping and nearby state legislative seats this year.  I think this areas is pretty gone for Dems going forward.

No, at least not necessarily. There's a lot of moderates in the districts who voted for Democrats out of New Deal era ties, but it still voted for Obama twice and has Atlantic County in the district. The education attainment divide means that trends are going against the Democrats by this isn't a goner by any stretch of the imagination. A stronger candidate than Van Drew (an actually pro-choice, pro-SSM candidate with ties with Atlantic County) would be doing alright here.

[Skill and Chance]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

Don't think he cares about the long run in the House.  He's probably eyeing 2021 NJ-GOV or 2022/24 NJ-SEN as a Republican if this works out for him in 2020.

[Landslide Lyndon]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

Don't think he cares about the long run in the House.  He's probably eyeing 2021 NJ-GOV or 2022/24 NJ-SEN as a Republican if this works out for him in 2020.

He has about as much of a chance to win a Republican primary as Parker Griffith, Gene Taylor, and Artur Davis.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

Don't think he cares about the long run in the House.  He's probably eyeing 2021 NJ-GOV or 2022/24 NJ-SEN as a Republican if this works out for him in 2020.

If that's true, then he's an even bigger of an idiot than I originally thought.

[Skill and Chance]

He's about to join a minority party without a shot at majority control for a while. This is in contrast to Specter who upgraded his position in Washington. His jobs going to get a lot less fun.

If I was him and didn't want to stay with the democrats, I would become an Indie and consider retirement in 2020. If he keeps caucusing with the Dems then he'll keep the committee assignments. His present plan seems fated towards an eventual retirement or a primary loss anyway.

Don't think he cares about the long run in the House.  He's probably eyeing 2021 NJ-GOV or 2022/24 NJ-SEN as a Republican if this works out for him in 2020.

He has about as much of a chance to win a Republican primary as Parker Griffith and Artur Davis.

Trump could endorse an inanimate object in a 2X Obama->Trump CD and it would win the Republican primary easily.

[ON Progressive]

Seems like a dumb move to go from the House majority to the House minority, but Van Drew was useless anyway so I don't care.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Bye! Hope you get Arlen Spectered.

[Roblox]

Bye! Hope you get Arlen Spectered.

[Roblox]

Good riddance. Absolutely useless blue dog anyway.

[Gracile]

Van Drew received some pretty bad polling numbers for the Democratic primary:

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1205956110760468481

Also, can we get a thread title change?