2019 Governor elections: Democrats ahead in combined vote, first time since 1991
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  2019 Governor elections: Democrats ahead in combined vote, first time since 1991
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Author Topic: 2019 Governor elections: Democrats ahead in combined vote, first time since 1991  (Read 827 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: November 27, 2019, 12:50:29 PM »

With the 3rd world state MS updating and correcting their numbers, Democrats have now pulled ahead of Republicans when combining the results of all 3 Governor races this year.

LA: D+40.212 votes
KY: D+5.189 votes
MS: R+45.028 votes

D+373 votes.

1.898.443 votes - D (49.49%)
1.898.070 votes - R (49.48%)
     39.618 votes - O (1.03%)

The last time this has happened was in 1991.

In all elections since (1995, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011 and 2015), Republicans usually were far ahead of the Democrats in the combined vote of KY, LA and MS.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2019, 01:01:20 PM »

D+373 votes.

1.898.443 votes - D (49.49%)
1.898.070 votes - R (49.48%)
     39.618 votes - O (1.03%)

The last time this has happened was in 1991.

Whaaaaat? How on earth did they smash their R+1 ceiling in the Safe R Popular Vote?!?!?!1?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: November 27, 2019, 01:15:19 PM »

Welp, I guess I have to update the Compendium.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: November 27, 2019, 05:11:06 PM »

D+373 votes.

1.898.443 votes - D (49.49%)
1.898.070 votes - R (49.48%)
     39.618 votes - O (1.03%)

The last time this has happened was in 1991.

Whaaaaat? How on earth did they smash their R+1 ceiling in the Safe R Popular Vote?!?!?!1?

Fortunately, KY, LA, and MS are all much more elastic than FL, so don't worry, the R+0.1295376 ceiling for Democrats still applies there. Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: December 06, 2019, 11:42:22 PM »

All 3 states now have certified results.

With the KY results, the margin narrowed slightly to D+5.136 there.

Which means Dems won all 3 states combined by 320 votes instead of 373.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #5 on: December 07, 2019, 11:27:07 PM »

All 3 states now have certified results.

With the KY results, the margin narrowed slightly to D+5.136 there.

Which means Dems won all 3 states combined by 320 votes instead of 373.

This is absolutely astounding, given how I was thinking at one point that Republicans were going to sweep all three races. Nevertheless, these three states are all safe as can be for Trump next year.
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #6 on: December 08, 2019, 04:22:19 AM »

This is absolutely astounding, given how I was thinking at one point that Republicans were going to sweep all three races. Nevertheless, these three states are all safe as can be for Trump next year.

You don't see the contradiction in your position?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #7 on: December 08, 2019, 12:48:12 PM »

This is absolutely astounding, given how I was thinking at one point that Republicans were going to sweep all three races. Nevertheless, these three states are all safe as can be for Trump next year.

You don't see the contradiction in your position?

What do you mean? This year's results doesn't change the fact that Trump will easily win these states next year. Beshear was carried in by Bevin's extreme unpopularity, Edwards benefited from being an incumbent and from being a moderate Democrat (the only type of Democrat that Louisiana will vote for), and Hood was of the same cast as Edwards, in addition to having name recognition from being Mississippi's Attorney General. Kansas isn't going to go Democratic because of Laura Kelly, and West Virginia and Montana aren't going Democratic because of Joe Manchin and Jon Tester, either.
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