DistingFlyer
Jr. Member
Posts: 652
Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74
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« on: January 17, 2021, 01:19:14 PM » |
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2004: Bush, in a close race (wasn't explicitly predicting state by state, but if I had been this would probably have been my most accurate forecast to date)
2008: Obama, comfortably (Indiana & Missouri probably the biggest surprises of the night)
2012: Obama, by a tighter margin than he actually got (expected 300 or fewer electors)
2016: Clinton (my initial prediction of low-to-mid-300s tightened in the final days, but I still thought she'd make it)
I only took a close, state-by-state look in making my predictions this past year.
2020: Biden, 351-187 (was wrong about Florida, North Carolina & the Maine 2nd; all three were basically coin-flips for me, so it wasn't too shocking that they went for Trump instead, especially Florida)
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