2004:I don't remember exactly what I predicted, since I wasn't yet following politics as closely, but it was something like this:
States I got wrong:
Iowa, New Mexico2008:States I got wrong:
Indiana, NE-022012:States I got wrong: None
2016:States I got wrong:
Florida, ME-02, Michigan, NE-02, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin (yikes)
Basically, I used to have more confidence in the American electorate, and while that confidence did start to fade in 2014, I still thought Trump was a bridge too far for most people in 2016. Now, I know that there's no such thing as a bridge too far, at least for the majority of the electorate.
