President Johnson
Atlas Star
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Political Matrix
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« on: November 21, 2019, 03:44:20 PM » |
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Since landslide victories like 1936, 1964, 1972 or 1984 didn't occur in recent years and aren't expected for the next either, what would be your prediction for the highest number of electoral votes in the first half of this century? Assuming 538 remains the total number of electoral votes.
I think as much as 420 or 430 is possible. If that happens, it will be certainly a Democrat due to demographic long term trends. Also, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama won more electoral votes than George W. Bush and Donald Trump. Republican ceiling as of today is maybe about 340. If Texas is flipping, the Democrats can crack 400.
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