National- Emerson: Biden, Sanders tied
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  National- Emerson: Biden, Sanders tied
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Author Topic: National- Emerson: Biden, Sanders tied  (Read 1331 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: November 21, 2019, 12:28:56 PM »
« edited: November 21, 2019, 05:38:14 PM by Senator ON Progressive »

This poll is getting ripped apart by data gurus on twitter. Apparently it has some messed up educational breakdown.

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/november-national-poll-support-for-impeachment-declines-biden-and-sanders-lead-democratic-primary


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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2019, 12:32:17 PM »

This poll is flawed, because:

Quote
Biden continues to lead with African American voters with 42% support, followed by Warren with 18%, Sanders with 17% and Buttigieg with 7%.

If Pete is surging to 7% with Blacks, he’s at double digits overall ...
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2019, 12:33:13 PM »


No one cares about Twitter losers and their “analysis”.  There is no “but”.  Sanders leads this puppy.  Change the title, NOW!

Anyway, absolutely tremendous news for Senator Sanders!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2019, 12:34:57 PM »

#Memerson
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2019, 12:56:51 PM »

Emerson has consistently been the worst pollster this cycle.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: November 21, 2019, 12:58:58 PM »
« Edited: November 21, 2019, 01:14:54 PM by Eraserhead »

Hockeydude's words were changed when he put his own spin on a poll in the title. I assume this one will be too.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: November 21, 2019, 01:02:42 PM »

This poll is flawed, because:

Quote
Biden continues to lead with African American voters with 42% support, followed by Warren with 18%, Sanders with 17% and Buttigieg with 7%.

If Pete is surging to 7% with Blacks, he’s at double digits overall ...

Subsamples can be off sometimes. I agree that there is no chance that Buttigieg is anywhere near 7% with blacks.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #7 on: November 21, 2019, 01:08:18 PM »

Emerson has consistently been the worst pollster this cycle.
How do we know? There haven't been any elections yet this cycle. I remember people constantly made fun of Emerson in 2018 and it ended up being the most accurate pollster overall.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: November 21, 2019, 01:12:56 PM »

GOP #s:
Trump 93%
Walsh 4%
Weld 3%
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bilaps
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« Reply #9 on: November 21, 2019, 02:38:18 PM »

Emerson has consistently been the worst pollster this cycle.

Because voters proved otherwise. Wait...
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Cinemark
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« Reply #10 on: November 21, 2019, 03:42:47 PM »

Emerson has consistently been the worst pollster this cycle.
How do we know? There haven't been any elections yet this cycle. I remember people constantly made fun of Emerson in 2018 and it ended up being the most accurate pollster overall.

I personally think their methodology is garbage. They use 65% robo landline polling, 35% Amazon Turk surveys. Neither method seems at all reliable for getting accurate information.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #11 on: November 21, 2019, 04:09:49 PM »

Hockeydude's words were changed when he put his own spin on a poll in the title. I assume this one will be too.

Nope, no action from our esteemed mods.  Looks like Landslide Landon over here can do as he pleases.  Any poll showing Bernie ahead must come with a caveat.  Sad!
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #12 on: November 21, 2019, 04:13:18 PM »

I thought the grifters on The Hill calling the Reuters poll with a Biden/Sanders tie a Bernie lead was an anomaly, but no, apparently its a feature of Bernie supporters to call ties leads.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #13 on: November 21, 2019, 04:15:54 PM »

Loving the editorialising Lyndon, keep it up!
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #14 on: November 21, 2019, 04:21:48 PM »

I thought the grifters on The Hill calling the Reuters poll with a Biden/Sanders tie a Bernie lead was an anomaly, but no, apparently its a feature of Bernie supporters to call ties leads.

He is in the lead.  They both are.  Ya big dummy.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: November 21, 2019, 04:39:58 PM »

I thought the grifters on The Hill calling the Reuters poll with a Biden/Sanders tie a Bernie lead was an anomaly, but no, apparently its a feature of Bernie supporters to call ties leads.

He is in the lead.  They both are.  Ya big dummy.

You know who isn't though? Senator Warren... kind of a tough week for Liz.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: November 21, 2019, 04:45:19 PM »

National security plays a role in primaries and GE. Gephardt instead of Edward's would have won 2004 election for Kerry, Obama and Hillary killing Bin Laden influenced 2012 & 2016; as a result, Buttigieg plays off of Biden's natl security by being a Vet. Buttigieg star is rising
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #17 on: November 21, 2019, 04:53:33 PM »

I thought the grifters on The Hill calling the Reuters poll with a Biden/Sanders tie a Bernie lead was an anomaly, but no, apparently its a feature of Bernie supporters to call ties leads.

He is in the lead.  They both are.  Ya big dummy.

You know who isn't though? Senator Warren... kind of a tough week for Liz.

TELL me about it!  Another victim of fickle white folks and their obsession with shiny, new baubles.  I do wonder who is next?  ROUGH couple of weeks for the 3 Year Plan.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #18 on: November 21, 2019, 05:07:20 PM »


Thanks.
I will.
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Forward
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« Reply #19 on: November 21, 2019, 06:32:52 PM »

Michael Bloomberg's national profile, vast personal wealth, years of executive experience, and massive media presence have him polling evenly with Admiral Joe Sestak. Wonderful!

Um, this poll is an EXTREME outlier. Every other poll done this past week has shown him with around 3%-6%, which is pretty good for not appearing at any of the debates or campaigning for the past several months.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: November 21, 2019, 07:49:32 PM »

Michael Bloomberg's national profile, vast personal wealth, years of executive experience, and massive media presence have him polling evenly with Admiral Joe Sestak. Wonderful!

Um, this poll is an EXTREME outlier. Every other poll done this past week has shown him with around 3%-6%, which is pretty good for not appearing at any of the debates or campaigning for the past several months.

Every poll I've seen in the past week has had him at 3% at most. What poll(s) have him at 6%?
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Forward
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« Reply #21 on: November 21, 2019, 08:18:40 PM »
« Edited: November 21, 2019, 08:38:03 PM by Forward »

    Michael Bloomberg's national profile, vast personal wealth, years of executive experience, and massive media presence have him polling evenly with Admiral Joe Sestak. Wonderful!

    Um, this poll is an EXTREME outlier. Every other poll done this past week has shown him with around 3%-6%, which is pretty good for not appearing at any of the debates or campaigning for the past several months.

    Every poll I've seen in the past week has had him at 3% at most. What poll(s) have him at 6%?

    4%: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=344980.0

    6%: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342447.0


    The other 3 polls that have been done in this past week have him at 3%. This poll is an extreme outlier.
    [/list]
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    Eraserhead
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    « Reply #22 on: November 21, 2019, 08:42:28 PM »

      Michael Bloomberg's national profile, vast personal wealth, years of executive experience, and massive media presence have him polling evenly with Admiral Joe Sestak. Wonderful!

      Um, this poll is an EXTREME outlier. Every other poll done this past week has shown him with around 3%-6%, which is pretty good for not appearing at any of the debates or campaigning for the past several months.

      Every poll I've seen in the past week has had him at 3% at most. What poll(s) have him at 6%?

      4%: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=344980.0

      6%: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=342447.0


      The other 3 polls that have been done in this past week have him at 3%. This poll is an extreme outlier.
      [/list]

      Neither of those polls were done in the last week though. The second is almost a month old.
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      Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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      « Reply #23 on: November 21, 2019, 08:44:22 PM »

      Biden is a wobbly frontrunner just like Hilary was and can lose the election based on corruption
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