IA-Civiqs/ISU: Buttigieg 26, Warren 19, Sanders 18, Biden 12

[Skye]

I can't find the full poll, and these are the only numbers they detail in the press release.

[Zaybay]

Numbers for the main 4:

Buttigieg- 26% (+6)
Warren- 19% (-9)
Sanders- 18% (No Change)
Biden- 12% (No Change)

(Change from last poll in late October)

[Torrain]

Wow. The Buttigieg surge is real.

Also, if Biden were to drop below 15% in the final results, he's locked out of delegate allocation.

Biden can probably afford to come in second or third place, but if he can't even pick up a single Iowa delegate, it's going to be very tough to make the electability argument going into Super Tuesday.

[Mr. Morden]

Full results are here:

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_ISU_banner_book_2019_11.pdf

Buttigieg 26%
Warren 19%
Sanders 18%
Biden 12%
Klobuchar 5%
Yang 4%
Gabbard 2%
Harris 2%
Steyer 2%
Booker 1%
Bullock 1%
Bloomberg 1%
Williamson 1%
Castro 1%
Bennet 1%
Sestak, Patrick, Delaney, Messam 0%

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Good poll. IA citizens are freedom fighters!

[Sir Mohamed]

If Buttigieg can keep his momentum, he'll have a shot at the nod and will last longer than Sanders, that's for sure.

Seems like Biden is having real struggles in IA, more so than NH. If he can't clear 15% on February 4, he'll lose momentum that may start a domino effect leading to his ultimate defeat: Come in 3rd or worse in NH, 3rd or 2nd in NV and win SC by single digits. In this scenario, his chances would be extremely diminished.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With the flip flop in voting, WC whites are having problems with Biden and his corruption and being the most electable to beat Trump, and Trump being corrupt himself. Biden needs a quick end, after Super Tuesday,  that he may not get

[Pollster]

Buttigieg certainly appears to be in the lead, though the double digit margin from the other poll was a bit overstated.

There's definitely a lot of confusion surrounding his actual standing in the overall primary beyond Iowa, which I'm sure was the reason most of the credible candidates laid off of him last night - outside of the first two contests, punching at Buttigieg would appear to be punching down, which always hurts frontrunners.

[Mr. Morden]

Buttigieg certainly appears to be in the lead, though the double digit margin from the other poll was a bit overstated.

Which other poll?  AFAIK, the Iowa poll in which Buttigieg has the biggest lead is the Selzer poll from the weekend, which gives him a 9 point lead.

[Pollster]

Buttigieg certainly appears to be in the lead, though the double digit margin from the other poll was a bit overstated.

Which other poll?  AFAIK, the Iowa poll in which Buttigieg has the biggest lead is the Selzer poll from the weekend, which gives him a 9 point lead.

Right, I was thinking of the NH poll with less than 300 respondents. Thanks!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is gonna be a long primary, not a short one, as Biden will be exposed by Hunter, as corrupt, just like Trump. Sanders will expose it, the most.