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October 31, 2020, 09:09:55 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  NY-Siena College: Biden leads Warren and Sanders 24-14-13
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Author Topic: NY-Siena College: Biden leads Warren and Sanders 24-14-13  (Read 581 times)
Sorenroy
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« on: November 21, 2019, 08:29:59 AM »

Sample size of 380 registered voters, conducted November 12th to 18th. Change is from their previous poll conducted one month ago.

Biden 24% (+3%)
Warren 14% (-7%)
Sanders 13% (-3%)
Buttigieg 5% (+1%)
Harris 3% (-1%)
Booker 2% (+1%)
Yang 2% (-1%)
Castro 1% (-)
Klobuchar 1% (0)
Gabbard 1% (+1%)
Bennet 1% (-)
O'Rourke 0% (-1%)
Williamson 0% (-)
Bullock 0% (-)
Steyer 0% (-)
Ryan 0% (-)
de Blasio 0% (0)
Delaney 0% (-)
Messam 0% (-)
Sestak 0% (-)
Patrick 0% (-)

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/SNY1119-Crosstabs.pdf
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2019, 08:42:37 AM »

Adds up to 67%...
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: November 21, 2019, 08:49:06 AM »

Huge surge for Undecided.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: November 21, 2019, 08:55:49 AM »

NY is so far down the line
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: November 21, 2019, 11:16:39 AM »

NYC:
Biden 22%
Sanders 18%
Warren 12%
Buttigieg 3%
Yang 3%

suburbs:
Biden 27%
Warren 22%
Buttigieg 9%
Sanders 7%

upstate:
Biden 25%
Warren 13%
Buttigieg 8%
Sanders 7%

Biden and Sanders are the only candidates above 3% with blacks:

white:
Biden 22%
Warren 20%
Sanders 11%
Buttigieg 9%

black:
Biden 38%
Sanders 14%
Castro 3%
Gabbard 3%

Latino:
Sanders 19%
Biden 18%
Warren 10%
Yang 6%
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Pollster
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« Reply #5 on: November 21, 2019, 11:21:32 AM »

I wouldn't put too much stock in the crosstabs here; the poll's overall sample is relatively small as it is, the subsamples are very unreliable.

For me, this confirms that Pete's standing in the early states is largely due to dominating the paid media landscape at the moment. He should probably be at or at least near double digits here based on the coalition he is building in Iowa and NH.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #6 on: November 21, 2019, 12:10:03 PM »

Wonder how Bloomberg would be polling here.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: November 21, 2019, 12:26:17 PM »

If Biden is doing well, up through mid-April, he may take NY (and most of its large delegate count).
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: November 21, 2019, 12:36:37 PM »

Why do they include De Blasio, Ryan, and Beto? It's not like they dropped out yesterday.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #9 on: November 21, 2019, 04:01:34 PM »

The progressive candidate will win NY, due to NY liberal roots, since it will take place in April, Sanders came from behind, in 2016
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #10 on: November 24, 2019, 06:58:52 PM »

New Poll: New York President by Siena Research Institute on 2019-11-18

Summary:
Biden:
24%
Warren:
14%
Sanders:
13%
Other:
20%
Undecided:
29%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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