IF Trump wins Wisconsin he is reelected. Simple is that!
Trump can lose MI & PA which he probably will.
However if he keeps Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and those 2 Districts in Nebraska & Maine he gets 270 Electoral Votes to 268 Electoral Votes.
That's not true. It's not guaranteed if he wins Wisconsin, that he'll keep NC, GA, FL, AZ and the district in Nebraska. He'll likely keep at least Ohio and Iowa if he wins Wisconsin. But i can make plenty of maps where Trump loses while winning Wisconsin. And it's not out of the question he wins at least two of them back again, or all three. You're making wrong conclusions and even than he is not safe. Although if he wins all three of them, he'll likely win the other states too, except for maybe AZ. FL seems guaranteed if he wins two of the three rust belt states.
