WI-Marquette: Trump in the lead

[Xing]

Marquette has seemed to show a lot of movement (hard to see Democrats going from up several points to down several points in just a month or so), but obviously Wisconsin is going to be very competitive. I just don't buy that MI/PA won't be, or that they'll vote 5+ points to the left of WI.

[Xing]

Here’s a bold prediction: Democrats could absolutely win AZ and GA even if they lose WI. It’s a must-win state only for Republicans.

It's certainly possible, though I do think that if Trump is losing those states AND MI/PA by more than a 1-2% margin, he's not likely to win WI. Democrats have a plausible win map without WI (or MI), but that doesn't mean losing either one wouldn't be quite bad for them.