WI-Marquette: Trump in the lead (user search)
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  WI-Marquette: Trump in the lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Trump in the lead  (Read 5665 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,106
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: November 20, 2019, 02:37:35 PM »

Hear me now, quote me later, if Wisconsin has Trump leading, then Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania are not that different. This poll may be an outlier and has some weird numbers, but Wisconsin is not an outlier in that group of states.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 25, 2019, 03:28:47 PM »

Interesting to look at the candidates by favourability in this poll, they even asked about Obama and Romney

Trump 46/50
Biden 39/48
Warren 29/46
Sanders 36/54

Obama 54/41
Romney 28/44

The numbers are worse for Biden than I thought they would be, the numbers are about as bad for Sanders and Warren as expected. Not surprisingly Obama is above water. 

Harry Enten has said this sample is more favourable for Trump than the previous poll but the sample in their October poll was 31R/29D/30I or a R+2 sample, the sample in their current poll is 28R/28D/40I so its 2% less Republican and in all other areas like education, age and income its identical.

These numbers confirm that yes, 2016 was not an aberration and this is the same state that would vote for Obama over Romney again today.
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