2000: Barack Obama (D) vs. George W. Bush (R)
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  2000: Barack Obama (D) vs. George W. Bush (R)		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2000: Barack Obama (D) vs. George W. Bush (R)  (Read 445 times)
538Electoral
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« on: November 19, 2019, 10:31:34 PM »
Discuss with maps.



272-266
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2019, 04:06:15 PM »
Lol never thought I’d come across this 2000 scenario.

Assuming: (1) Barack Obama won the 1996 Senate election in IL at the age of 35; (2) he narrowly defeats Vice President Al Gore for the 2000 Democratic nomination for President & (3) he selects Senator Joe Biden from DE as a running mate.



Bush - 300 EV 48.9%
Obama - 238 EV 46.0%
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #2 on: November 20, 2019, 04:35:33 PM »
Get real people. Obama had no traction. He would be blown out. This might be the only election after both men could legally run where I would say trump is actually more likely to win
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538Electoral
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« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2019, 11:31:42 PM »
Quote from: morgankingsley on November 20, 2019, 04:35:33 PM
Get real people. Obama had no traction. He would be blown out. This might be the only election after both men could legally run where I would say trump is actually more likely to win

Yeah I was being quite generous to Obama here. IA, MO, MN, WI, MI, PA and ME could all reasonably flip in this scenario.
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