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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  TX-UT Tyler: Trump +5 over Biden, leading other Democrats too
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Author Topic: TX-UT Tyler: Trump +5 over Biden, leading other Democrats too  (Read 1306 times)
Daines' Bipartisan Bills™
IndyRep
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« on: November 18, 2019, 10:46:36 am »

44.5% Trump (R)
39.4% Biden (D)

44.2% Trump (R)
39.9% Sanders (D)

45.7% Trump (R)
34.6% Warren (D)

45.2% Trump (R)
34.2% Castro (D)

46.3% Trump (R)
33.1% Harris (D)

45.3% Trump (R)
32.7% Buttigieg (D)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20191118_TX.pdf
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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2019, 10:52:22 am »

Looks like no leaners pushed.

Otherwise, very familiar story. Trump's ceiling is more or less the same against every Dem, each Dem has a different floor, Buttigieg would face a significant challenge if nothing drastic changes.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2019, 10:53:49 am »

Junk!
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Old School Republican
Computer89
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« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2019, 10:56:21 am »

Lol at Warren
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2019, 11:10:59 am »

Biden can win TX
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#Joemala2020
RFKFan68
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2019, 12:05:19 pm »

Trump won't win TX by more than 5. Unless the TX GOP come out of the gate with intense voter suppression.
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2019, 12:11:32 pm »

Trump won't win TX by more than 5. Unless the TX GOP come out of the gate with intense voter suppression.


Yah he won’t win TX by more then 5 against Biden , against Warren he definitely will
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Biden +3 in Texas
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2019, 12:55:20 pm »

Trump won't win TX by more than 5. Unless the TX GOP come out of the gate with intense voter suppression.
unless Buttigieg is the nominee you mean Wink
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #8 on: November 18, 2019, 02:33:34 pm »

TX is indeed in play, I am not ruling out an upset here.
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Bland Neoliberal Consensus Democrat
Beef
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« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2019, 02:42:26 pm »

I'm gonna throw out a wild guess that Trump needs to lose by 8 points nationally for Texas to flip.
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President Biden
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« Reply #10 on: November 18, 2019, 03:15:14 pm »

tReNdS aRe rEaL
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Ebsy
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« Reply #11 on: November 18, 2019, 06:16:46 pm »

Decimals...
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #12 on: November 18, 2019, 07:32:40 pm »


You’re getting it! I guess you saw the wonderful swing map in LA-Gov?
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538Electoral
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« Reply #13 on: November 18, 2019, 09:31:53 pm »

Sounds right. Except I'd say 8 points for Biden and 9 points for Sanders.
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money printer go brrr
peenie_weenie
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« Reply #14 on: November 18, 2019, 11:33:23 pm »


Yes, Joe Biden and a Democratic Socialist being five points behind a Republican is very normal and historically not weird at all for Texas.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: November 18, 2019, 11:54:04 pm »

538 doesnt believe in waves, but Dems are taught blue waves
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #16 on: November 19, 2019, 07:32:20 pm »


Yes, Joe Biden and a Democratic Socialist being five points behind a Republican is very normal and historically not weird at all for Texas.

And don’t forget that Trump’s approvals are lower than his disapproval and most of the undecideds disapprove of his job performance in this poll
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SN2903
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« Reply #17 on: November 20, 2019, 05:16:09 pm »

Trump won't win TX by more than 5. Unless the TX GOP come out of the gate with intense voter suppression.


Yah he won’t win TX by more then 5 against Biden , against Warren he definitely will
Yes he will. Trump will win TX against Biden by 7-8. Warren, Bernie, Pete 10+. Atlas is so wrong about TX
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SN2903
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« Reply #18 on: November 20, 2019, 05:17:18 pm »

I'm gonna throw out a wild guess that Trump needs to lose by 8 points nationally for Texas to flip.
The most Trump will lose the pop vote by is 3.5% in 2020. It will be between Trump +2 and Dem +3.5
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #19 on: November 20, 2019, 05:20:54 pm »

Trump won't win TX by more than 5. Unless the TX GOP come out of the gate with intense voter suppression.


Yah he won’t win TX by more then 5 against Biden , against Warren he definitely will
Yes he will. Trump will win TX against Biden by 7-8. Warren, Bernie, Pete 10+. Atlas is so wrong about TX


Against Biden he will win TX by 4 points(He will lose nationally by 6-7)
Against Bernie/Pete he will TX by 7 points(He will lose nationally by 3 points)
Against Warren he will TX by 9.5 points(He will lose nationally by 0.5 point)
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