2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana

[OBD]

Anyway heres my fair LA map, 1 Safe R, 1 Likely R and 4 Safe R. Baton Rouge district is Trump +7.3 and trending left but is still deep south.



Obviously crossed the lake and took in East Jefferson Parish which is quite different from West Jefferson Parish.

Fair map? That’s an illegal map.

How is it illegal?

No AA seat. Is that a 6-0 map?

Oh my bad the green seat is Safe D. 50.5% black by 2018 pop and 63% D. Purple is Lean to Likely R at Trump +7.

Would an AA candidate likely win the green one?

Do the math. 50.5% black and 63.5% D. The answer is yes.

I still think it might elect a white Democrat in a midterm.

No. African-Americans are monolitically Democratic, so even a 35-40% AA VAP district would probably be functional (AAs would make up 35-40% of the voting population but >60% of the Democrats, and could thus elect their candidate of choice).