2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Indiana

[Sol]

Although I hope that the IN GOP doesn't draw out the 1st, I think it's maybe wishful thinking to imagine that they'd sacrifice a seat just because having Gary in the seat of a Republican would be so undesirable. Republicans did similar things to Lansing and Columbus, for example. And Jim Baird is pretty new in Congress and can probably be f[inks]ed around with.

Probably the biggest obstacle to destroying the 1st honestly is the general historical swinginess of Indiana. Although it is definitely a right-wing state voters here are still more persuadable than in Kentucky or Tennessee, and it was only a little over 10 years ago that Obama won the state. Coalitions inevitably realign and Midwesterners tend to be swing voters. Whether or not that awareness is enough to stop the cracking of the 1st, idk. But I wouldn't want to do it if I were an Indiana Republican.

[Sol]

I recreated the gerrymander 538 did the best that I could and got
https://davesredistricting.org/join/1e2e8b27-bf42-41a8-96a1-5fa27fa0fd3e

1 - R+6
2 - R+9
3 - R+9
4 - R+6
5 - R+9
6 - R+11
7- R+9
8 - R+12
9 - R+11

Of course, Obama won all of them except 5, 7, and 9 in 2008. Which shows some of the danger of such ambitious gerrymandering, especially in a state with more elastic voters like Indiana.

[Sol]

Now, I still would not advise an 9R-0D given how risky it would be, but if one had to make as close as possible to one, this is how I'd do it.

This is not a 9R-0D map - this is a 8R-1Swing - but still this is the most R possible version of a clean, compact IN-01 in terms of PVI. And Andre Carson would have an uphill fight for re-election in any of the seats. (I suspect he'd run in the 7th, personally - almost half of it is in Marion County)
https://davesredistricting.org/join/ccda80fe-646a-41a4-a4da-2501dc5b5b69

The Bloody 8th makes its glorious return!

[Sol]

DRA has 2016 numbers for most states.