2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Indiana

[BoiseBoy]

Indiana Senate has passed the maps 36-12.

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1443998072120528898

[ProgressiveModerate]

Wow so they really don’t plan on cracking IN-1. It’ll be reliving to have 1 pleasant looking Midwestern map.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1443998072120528898

Glorious news

[lfromnj]

State house seems fair but seems like the state senate was gerrymandered. Examples include the brutal Fort Wayne chop and Lafayette and West Lafayette  being split.

[politicallefty]

The Congressional map could probably pass for a commission map were it not for splitting the Indianapolis suburbs in three different districts. It's obvious that Hamilton County concerns Republicans. Overall though and apart from that, a surprisingly sane and reasonable map.

[lfromnj]

The Congressional map could probably pass for a commission map were it not for splitting the Indianapolis suburbs in three different districts. It's obvious that Hamilton County concerns Republicans. Overall though and apart from that, a surprisingly sane and reasonable map.

You don't need to split the Indianapolis suburbs. Its just that this would create a seat no incumbent lives in but this seat would still be very much safe with weaker trends and being Trump +30.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The Congressional map could probably pass for a commission map were it not for splitting the Indianapolis suburbs in three different districts. It's obvious that Hamilton County concerns Republicans. Overall though and apart from that, a surprisingly sane and reasonable map.

You don't need to split the Indianapolis suburbs. Its just that this would create a seat no incumbent lives in but this seat would still be very much safe with weaker trends and being Trump +30.

Made a map based off this. Was drawn with partisan data turned off.

Here's the DRA link

[politicallefty]

I was thinking Hamilton County was a more natural anchor/focal point to an Indianapolis suburban district.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I was thinking Hamilton County was a more natural anchor/focal point to an Indianapolis suburban district.

Well, given how dense populations are getting in the southern part, there is some validity to this.
Really you could go both ways.

[Tintrlvr]

I was thinking Hamilton County was a more natural anchor/focal point to an Indianapolis suburban district.

Right, Hamilton County is clearly the most suburban of the Marion collar counties and therefore the best fit for matching with the excess population in Marion; the others are mostly exurban and much lower in both density and total population. So it's definitely an R-favorable decision to pair any county other than Hamilton with the Marion excess. That is pretty subtle gerrymandering in the grand scheme of things, though.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What happens when IN-06 no longer has any part of Marion. The side-effects of this allow for 2 whole-county CDs with minimal deviation in the southern part of the state. IN-05 was basically 50-50 in the 2020 presidential vote.
DRA link

[Minnesota Mike]

https://twitter.com/GovHolcomb/status/1445120877885001734

[ProgressiveModerate]

Honestly don’t know why the GOP didn’t go for IN-1. Relatively happy with how this turned out could’ve been a lot worse, and it’s pretty much a fair map except for the fact the Indianapolis suburbs are split

[kwabbit]

The GOP botched an opportunity here. The GOP could've easily made the first district a tossup without making too ugly of a map. Sometimes I feel like it's missed that turning a likely D district into a tossup is still a gain, you don't have to completely flip the seat. A lot of the users on this thread have created some ugly tendrils in Lake County to make that seat R without considering a tossup seat. 

Here is a map with IN-01 as a tossup with favorable trends. I think the GOP should've gone for something like this.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/7b4b78c2-b17b-4e6c-ad55-b69cbf770b17

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/d9c2523a-5df4-4a1a-b989-b06f76bb2e4c
Experimented with how pro-R an IN-01 with all of Lake County in it could get. I could go up to Trump+8.

[Schiff for Senate]

The GOP botched an opportunity here. The GOP could've easily made the first district a tossup without making too ugly of a map. Sometimes I feel like it's missed that turning a likely D district into a tossup is still a gain, you don't have to completely flip the seat. A lot of the users on this thread have created some ugly tendrils in Lake County to make that seat R without considering a tossup seat. 

Here is a map with IN-01 as a tossup with favorable trends. I think the GOP should've gone for something like this.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/7b4b78c2-b17b-4e6c-ad55-b69cbf770b17

Well with the way trends are going maybe the GOP thinks they could flip it by the end of the decade anyway, but I'd beg to differ, and you are right. Carving a competitive seat wouldn't hurt, and would let the seat flip earlier than it otherwise would (2022, probably, depending on specifics), though even a fairly red seat could be drawn without compromising any of the 7 red seats' partisanships too much, so they could've gone all the way. Still, obviously glad they didn't do it. What happened in the Indianapolis suburbs probably will cost the Democrats a seat later in the decade (as in the current IN05 would've flipped sometime this decade; now it isn't going to), but a lot better than what could've happened, especially with regards to the 1st.