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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico
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Poll
Question: Who will win the New Mexico Democratic Primary?
#1
Joe Biden
 
#2
Pete Buttigieg
 
#3
Kamala Harris
 
#4
Bernie Sanders
 
#5
Elizabeth Warren
 
#6
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 49

Author Topic: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: New Mexico  (Read 431 times)
Make America Malarkey Free Again
xingkerui
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« on: November 16, 2019, 12:54:27 pm »
« edited: November 17, 2019, 12:13:37 am by Still couldn't quell the Bel »





Biden
Sanders
Warren

Vote here in the previous polls if you haven't already!

February
IA NH NV SC

Super Tuesday
AL AS AR CA CO DA ME MA MN NC OK TN TX UT VT VA

March 10th
ID MI MS MO ND WA

Later March
NMI AZ FL IL OH GA PR

April
AK HI LA WY WI CT DE MD NY PA RI

May
GU KS IN NE WV KY OR

June
DC MT NJ

Arizona, Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan are all very close.

If the primary is still going on, I think New Mexico will be very interesting. Despite Clinton's strength with Latinos in 2008 and 2016, she just barely won it both times, perhaps due to decent performances by Obama and Sanders in Santa Fe and Albuquerque. I think that Warren would have a better chance of winning here than in Arizona, and I suppose I'd give her a narrow edge, especially since Biden doesn't seem to have the same strength among Latinos as Clinton did. Hard to predict with confidence, though.
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2019, 01:25:30 pm »

Warren
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2019, 06:24:38 pm »

Warren. Sanders is a good candidate for this state though.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2019, 08:09:46 pm »

While I wouldn't count Warren out here, I still see Biden pulling off a victory similar to Clinton's in 2016.
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Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia
Frodo
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« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2019, 08:48:42 pm »

It's hard for me to see Elizabeth Warren losing in New Mexico when she has already won California and Arizona, which clearly indicates to me that she has gained strength among Latinos to Joe Biden's detriment. 
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538Electoral
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« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2019, 11:13:05 pm »

Biden.
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Cory Booker
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: November 16, 2019, 11:15:01 pm »

Buttigieg will win NM and the nomination,  all the states at the end surrounds IN; Buttigieg will easily win California too, if he wins IA, NV, CO
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McGarnagle and the Power of the Word "Might"
SomethingPolitical
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« Reply #7 on: November 17, 2019, 01:29:46 am »

I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say Bernie

By the way, OP, gneiss username breaux!
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #8 on: November 17, 2019, 08:40:04 pm »

It's hard for me to see Elizabeth Warren losing in New Mexico when she has already won California and Arizona, which clearly indicates to me that she has gained strength among Latinos to Joe Biden's detriment. 

I could see her winning California, but everyone who voted for her to the point of winning the Arizona poll must have been on peyote when they voted.
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L.D. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #9 on: November 18, 2019, 06:50:54 pm »

Warren.
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Make America Malarkey Free Again
xingkerui
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« Reply #10 on: November 25, 2019, 11:32:40 am »

Break the tie!
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #11 on: November 25, 2019, 12:11:04 pm »

Most likely Biden, given that the minority voters support him despite his being a vicious racist.
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