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March 06, 2021, 03:43:39 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: ON Progressive)
  Nixon 1972 vs. Reagan 1984 by state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nixon 1972 vs. Reagan 1984 by state  (Read 997 times)
Old School Republican
Computer89
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Posts: 26,509


Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -0.10

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« on: November 20, 2019, 07:07:29 PM »

What's really interestingis  how much California was lukewarm for Nixon at each time after 1952.

I mean:

1956: Lost a lot of votes to Kefauver, especially in The Valley, Eisenhower performed worse here
1960: Outright lost Election Night and needed the Late Vote to save him.
1962: Lost Gubernatorial
1968: Plurality win, literally carried over by LA County.
1972: Significantly less of the vote, whole state moved leftward of the nation first time since FDR.

CA voted to the left of the nation in 1956 as well
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Old School Republican
Computer89
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,509


Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -0.10

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 20, 2019, 07:08:20 PM »

Michigan is somewhat of an oddity, as Reagan improved over Nixon by 3 full points (59.2% vs. 56.2%); Reagan bested Nixon in Kent, Macomb, Oakland, Washtenaw, Ingham, Lapeer, St Clair, and Livingston Counties; Wayne and Genesee were the only major counties in which Reagan did worse than Nixon (which says a lot about population migration patterns in MI in the 1970s).

In WI, also colored blue, Reagan bested Nixon by less than 1%.

Why did Reagan do better than Nixon in Michigan? Particularly given that he ran behind Nixon throughout most of the remaining Midwest and Appalachia.

Reagan dominated the Suburbs like no other candidate really ever has
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