Nevada is clearly Tilt R, though.
Tell that to Senator Joe Heck and Governor Adam Laxalt.
His point is that Nevada is trending red. It was D+5 in 2008, D+3 in 2012, and D+0 in 2016. The senate and governor elections in 2018 were around R+4. Nevada is one of several states that trended blue between 2000 and 2008 and is trending back to red. Trump had 48% approval in the 2018 exit poll, which is a very good sign for Trump's chances in Nevada.
I was being sarcastic.
And no, these polls don't show that Trump is winning Nevada no matter how much you try to unskew them.