VCU poll : Trump is stronger than expected in VA : Biden leads / Sanders trails
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  VCU poll : Trump is stronger than expected in VA : Biden leads / Sanders trails
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Author Topic: VCU poll : Trump is stronger than expected in VA : Biden leads / Sanders trails  (Read 2093 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #25 on: December 21, 2019, 04:53:24 PM »

Bernie shows weakness and he needs Pete Buttigieg who can carry WC in SW VA, which is a must win state
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #26 on: December 21, 2019, 05:02:31 PM »

Sen. Stewart (R) and Gov. Gillespie (R) can attest to the importance of running up the score in Southwest VA.

And yeah no, Trump would not win 47+% in Loudoun even against Sanders or Warren when something like 60% of the county's voters think he’s a treasonous Putin/Bannon/Assad stooge.
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Libertas Vel Mors
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« Reply #27 on: December 21, 2019, 05:33:11 PM »

Sen. Stewart (R) and Gov. Gillespie (R) can attest to the importance of running up the score in Southwest VA.

And yeah no, Trump would not win 47+% in Loudoun even against Sanders or Warren when something like 60% of the county's voters think he’s a treasonous Putin/Bannon/Assad stooge.

That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard, I'd be suprised if impeachment was even over 57% or so in Loudoun, and even then never underestimate the ability of rich voters to vote for their own interests. Raising taxes to 45%/raising taxes to f**king 90%
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #28 on: December 21, 2019, 05:34:22 PM »

Northam black face scandal continues to pummel VA Dems
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #29 on: December 21, 2019, 07:48:28 PM »

Democrats could take over a 2/3 legislative supermajority, win all state offices by double digits and win 8/11 House races and people will still be treating Virginia as a tossup/Lean D state
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #30 on: December 21, 2019, 09:17:40 PM »

Democrats could take over a 2/3 legislative supermajority, win all state offices by double digits and win 8/11 House races and people will still be treating Virginia as a tossup/Lean D state

Trump wont win VA but face it , the country does not want far left policies
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538Electoral
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« Reply #31 on: December 21, 2019, 09:20:05 PM »

I would actually love it if Trump wins VA if only to see how all of the ones who claim that Democrats have VA locked up react.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #32 on: December 22, 2019, 02:09:48 AM »

Democrats could take over a 2/3 legislative supermajority, win all state offices by double digits and win 8/11 House races and people will still be treating Virginia as a tossup/Lean D state

Trump wont win VA but face it , the country does not want far left policies

Well former point is likely correct, and your latter point is a fake news argument regarding "far left politics"... 'Pubs" might even take a few whacks in VA in 2020 at the House Level....

'Pubs thinking VA is gonna swing hard 'pub in 2020 sure as hell must be "on the pipe"....
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #33 on: December 22, 2019, 04:49:26 AM »

Sen. Stewart (R) and Gov. Gillespie (R) can attest to the importance of running up the score in Southwest VA.

And yeah no, Trump would not win 47+% in Loudoun even against Sanders or Warren when something like 60% of the county's voters think he’s a treasonous Putin/Bannon/Assad stooge.

Trump will do far better than Stewart in rural areas and certainly a bit better than Gillespie
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #34 on: December 22, 2019, 05:04:13 AM »

Sen. Stewart (R) and Gov. Gillespie (R) can attest to the importance of running up the score in Southwest VA.

And yeah no, Trump would not win 47+% in Loudoun even against Sanders or Warren when something like 60% of the county's voters think he’s a treasonous Putin/Bannon/Assad stooge.

Trump will do far better than Stewart in rural areas and certainly a bit better than Gillespie

Trump would not beat Biden in this state, as fior Bernie, he needs to pick Buttigieg as a Veep; consequently,  AA will come around voting for Buttigieg,  as the conservative AA switches from the South to the North, from primary to GE, whom are tolerant of gays.  VA is a must win state. There are alot of Navy military personnel in VA
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Brittain33
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« Reply #35 on: December 22, 2019, 10:12:07 AM »


Another Trump government shutdown and D sweep of state legislative elections might push it into Lean R.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #36 on: December 22, 2019, 10:13:32 AM »

I would actually love it if Trump wins VA if only to see how all of the ones who claim that Democrats have VA locked up react.

I remember occasionally fantasizing about Clinton winning GA in 2016 and giving those Republicans the lesson they deserved about running Trump.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #37 on: December 22, 2019, 04:14:43 PM »

Probably will be one of those states in which relatively close does not necessarily mean competitive.

It could just be  5 to 8 point Democratic win here but the gop closing the rest of the gap is next to impossible.
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sg0508
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« Reply #38 on: December 22, 2019, 09:04:41 PM »

Polls mean little at this point. That being said, if the Old Dominion is within five points in November, he's in solid shape for overall re-election.
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SN2903
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« Reply #39 on: December 23, 2019, 11:43:56 AM »

Yup just as I thought Warren and Bernie are weak in NoVA
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #40 on: December 23, 2019, 12:01:13 PM »

Yup just as I thought Warren and Bernie are weak in NoVA

Do you honestly  believe that Bernie is gonna lose Va in a Mark Warner slide? Bernie has a 50 state strategy,  Biden can lose the election off of Ukraine.


Bernie has populist appeal and he has ties to AA community,  he marched with Dr.King😎😎😎
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Cinemark
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« Reply #41 on: December 23, 2019, 08:07:32 PM »

I know Tim Kaine was on the ticket, but Virginia is one of the few states Hillary's 2016 margin of victory was larger than Obama's in 2012. That should be proof enough the state probably isn't all that competitive.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #42 on: December 23, 2019, 10:26:04 PM »

I know Tim Kaine was on the ticket, but Virginia is one of the few states Hillary's 2016 margin of victory was larger than Obama's in 2012. That should be proof enough the state probably isn't all that competitive.

Without Kaine, Clinton probably only wins VA by 2-3%. Kaine was and continues to be very popular in the state.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #43 on: December 24, 2019, 01:35:46 PM »

I know Tim Kaine was on the ticket, but Virginia is one of the few states Hillary's 2016 margin of victory was larger than Obama's in 2012. That should be proof enough the state probably isn't all that competitive.

Without Kaine, Clinton probably only wins VA by 2-3%. Kaine was and continues to be very popular in the state.

There's literally no reason to believe Kaine had any influence, given the patterns in VA were literally the exact same as the country as a whole (suburbs swinging D, rurals swinging R, etc)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #44 on: December 24, 2019, 02:19:57 PM »
« Edited: December 24, 2019, 02:23:55 PM by Cory Booker »

The Dems have learned from 2016, to expand the 278; subsequently,  that's why FL, TX have minimum wage ballot initiatives,  so there is more room for error, in case WI, MI, and PA go red again. IA and GA are competetive as well.

Trump said he wanted to balance budget, was open to raising minimum wage, etc.  Most blue states have 10.00, but it needs to raised to 15.00. Just like in HAWAII, is very expensive to live with a 10.00 wage
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
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« Reply #45 on: December 24, 2019, 02:25:51 PM »

All Democrats would win Virginia without a major struggle. Biden would perform best though. Wouldn't surprise me if he carries the state by ten points, with something like 54-44%. Bernie and Liz would win about with about 52-45%.

Trump is unlikely to lose VA by double digits, sure the state is likely not winnable for Trump, but he still has a solid floor of 45%

Huh?

Dude couldn't even break 45% when he was a blank slate candidate and before four years of continuing growth in NoVa/Richmond and before VA Beach flipped against him. AND before a government shutdown and botching the Charlottesville rallies. Not sure why you're expecting people who didn't vote for him four years ago to hop onboard now.

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