LA: JMC - Rispone +1/-1

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Executive-Summary-Runoff-Poll-2.pdf?fbclid=IwAR3xBlh5vqSjZgttxOdWFFr1EWIpidQVHbOUHEgEyk2zBv4JQdSzXzO1Rrg

With undecideds not pushed:
Rispone - 46%
Edwards - 45%
Undecided - 9%

With leaners (a bit of pushing to the undecideds):
Edwards - 47%
Rispone - 46%
Undecided - 7%

[ElectionsGuy]

It's 45.5-45 Rispone and 46.5-46 Edwards, so yeah, flip a coin.

Good news for Rispone in this poll - more whites and R's/Indy's undecideds than blacks and D's.

[Matty]

Polls don’t matter here. We have hard data showing JBE blowing past the AA turnout benchmark he needs

Guys, I don’t think you quite grasp how great that EV turnout was for JBE

You cannot make up for that on Eday. You just can’t

[voice_of_resistance]

I hope you're right. My gut says Edwards will still win by like 2, but it could go the other way depending on what minutiae happen.

[Matty]

I hope you're right. My gut says Edwards will still win by like 2, but it could go the other way depending on what minutiae happen.

Those saying JBe is vulnerable are assuming an Election Day voter base that is way too white and repub

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

F(ck you Louisiana. We should cut their medicaid expansion money off if we regain control federally.

[ElectionsGuy]

Polls don’t matter here. We have hard data showing JBE blowing past the AA turnout benchmark he needs

Guys, I don’t think you quite grasp how great that EV turnout was for JBE

You cannot make up for that on Eday. You just can’t

I'm not one to put my stock in polls but this statement is just stupid. Blacks making up 31% of early vote can be made up for on election day if election day is less than or equal to 29% black, and that's assuming that all demographic groups hold the same for JBE as in the primary. Election day will still cast about 2/3 of all votes. And you were telling us to apologize to Targoz for predicting the right "winner" but being 18 points off but say this poll has no value?

[Cinemark]

Just like the last 3 polls this week showed, the race is within the MoE. The early vote is encouraging for Edwards(and so are the mail in ballots), but its still ruby red Louisiana.

[ON Progressive]

Asking about impeachment before the horse race seems iffy to me.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

F(ck you Louisiana. We should cut their medicaid expansion money off if we regain control federally.

I guess we can do that for Hawaii then, if it's ok for you to do that.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

F(ck you Louisiana. We should cut their medicaid expansion money off if we regain control federally.

I guess we can do that for Hawaii then, if it's ok for you to do that.

You can’t because you don’t have full control. If they vote for Rispone and GOP policies, by doing that we are just giving them what they are asking for.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Asking about impeachment before the horse race seems iffy to me.

IF they did that then we can dismiss the results.
But isn't that supposed to be a respectable company? How could they do such a rookie mistake?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Asking about impeachment before the horse race seems iffy to me.

IF they did that then we can dismiss the results.
But isn't that supposed to be a respectable company? How could they do such a rookie mistake?

the PDF says they did

[Cinemark]

Asking about impeachment before the horse race seems iffy to me.

IF they did that then we can dismiss the results.
But isn't that supposed to be a respectable company? How could they do such a rookie mistake?

Yeah, not sure why they did that either. I dont think its enough to throw off the result, but they definitely should have asked the horse race question first.

Question 1: Do you support or oppose the impeachment inquiry that Democrats have begun against President Trump?

[Landslide Lyndon]

Asking about impeachment before the horse race seems iffy to me.

IF they did that then we can dismiss the results.
But isn't that supposed to be a respectable company? How could they do such a rookie mistake?

Yeah, not sure why they did that either. I dont think its enough to throw off the result, but they definitely should have asked the horse race question first.

Question 1: Do you support or oppose the impeachment inquiry that Democrats have begun against President Trump?

That's a pretty loaded question to ask, especially since they don't mention that the congress begun the impeachment inquiry but specifically the Democrats.

[voice_of_resistance]

Yeah upon closer examination, asking about impeachment first definitely would have added 2-3 points to Rispone. Edwards is still probably up about 2-3 points. John Couvillon is a very respectable pollster, I don't know why he would do this.

[SnowLabrador]

Brain says Edwards, gut says Rispone. Going with my gut; I think Rispone wins by 1-2 points.

[Xing]

Pretty much confirms what we already know: This race is close.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs might end up winning this race

[2016]

How sweet would that be if Rispone could squeak this Race out after Bevin lost in a Squeaker in Kentucky!

[Annatar]

JMC is a good pollster, Edwards might be in trouble.

[DrScholl]

Considering this is a state that Trump won by double digits this is a horrible poll for Republicans.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Louisiana Governor by JMC Enterprises on 2019-11-13

Summary: D: 47%, R: 46%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[voice_of_resistance]

Again, asking the impeachment question and tying it to Democrats is loading the following questions subconsciously against Edwards. This race is likely tied, or having Edwards slightly ahead (1-2 points).

[Pericles]

How sweet would that be if Rispone could squeak this Race out after Bevin lost in a Squeaker in Kentucky!

Louisiana has a contrarian streak so in a way Bevin losing made a Rispone win more likely.