LA-Cygnal: JBE 50, Rispone 48
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  LA-Cygnal: JBE 50, Rispone 48
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Author Topic: LA-Cygnal: JBE 50, Rispone 48  (Read 1199 times)
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 12, 2019, 10:10:21 AM »

https://www.cygn.al/rispone-closing-the-gap-with-edwards/

JBE 54/42 favorables, Rispone 48/45, Trump 51/47
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2019, 10:16:19 AM »

Would anybody like some fresh herding?
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Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2019, 10:22:12 AM »

Trump approval way too low in this poll
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Cinemark
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2019, 10:35:53 AM »

Trump approval way too low in this poll

Favorables =/= Job Approval.

The Kentucky exit poll had Trump's favorbility at 54% so this really isnt far off of that.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: November 12, 2019, 10:36:50 AM »

Early voting is going on and there is an increase in AA support, small JBE victory is now possible
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2019, 11:07:25 AM »

As much as I think JBE is a softy, I'm really rooting for him here just to piss Trump off.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2019, 11:15:42 AM »

A 9-point gender gap with females comprising 56% of voters?

I'm fully aware of how Deep South gender ratios are skewed by large black (female) voting populations, but that 56% female figure in an off-year election seems optimistic. GA - with similar black population - had a 56% female electorate in 2018 with Abrams churning black/female turnout to the max.

Likewise, obviously JBE wouldn't likely be competitive if the gender gap was immense (as it's probably one of the best indicators of polarization outside of race), but that seems ridiculously small post-2016.

I can see either one of these being true, but both? I don't know.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2019, 12:28:27 PM »

New Poll: Louisiana Governor by Cygnal on 2019-11-09

Summary: D: 50%, R: 48%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 12, 2019, 12:55:40 PM »

I agree Trumps Job Approval in Louisiana is waaaay too low at 51%. This isn't Kentucky. It's the deep South here.

I would peg Trumps Approval at least at 57, 58 or 59 in LA.
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Not_A_Doctor
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« Reply #9 on: November 12, 2019, 01:02:07 PM »

I agree Trumps Job Approval in Louisiana is waaaay too low at 51%. This isn't Kentucky. It's the deep South here.

I would peg Trumps Approval at least at 57, 58 or 59 in LA.

I'm sure there are plenty of LA voters who don't approve of Trump but still support him/plan on voting for him anyway, just like in any other state.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #10 on: November 12, 2019, 01:46:03 PM »

I agree Trumps Job Approval in Louisiana is waaaay too low at 51%. This isn't Kentucky. It's the deep South here.

I would peg Trumps Approval at least at 57, 58 or 59 in LA.

This is also off-year with a D biased electorate. There are probably plenty of solid R voters who are going to be sitting at home until 2020.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: November 12, 2019, 01:48:32 PM »

I agree Trumps Job Approval in Louisiana is waaaay too low at 51%. This isn't Kentucky. It's the deep South here.

I would peg Trumps Approval at least at 57, 58 or 59 in LA.

It was already mentioned that this poll measured personal favourable ratings, not job approval.

Voters hate Trump as a person, but rate his job approval slightly higher.
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