NH-Quinnipiac: Biden 20 Warren 16 Buttigieg 15 Sanders 14 Gabbard 6 Yang 4 (user search)
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  NH-Quinnipiac: Biden 20 Warren 16 Buttigieg 15 Sanders 14 Gabbard 6 Yang 4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-Quinnipiac: Biden 20 Warren 16 Buttigieg 15 Sanders 14 Gabbard 6 Yang 4  (Read 1957 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: November 11, 2019, 03:28:24 PM »
Quote from: Queen Liz <3 on November 11, 2019, 03:15:27 PM
Is Pete really going to win Iowa and then storm his way to the nomination? Holy smokes.

With his lack of support among minorities, Pete has zero chance of winning the nomination.  Sorry, but that's reality.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2019, 03:40:48 PM »
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2019, 05:50:00 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 11, 2019, 05:20:48 PM
Yeah sorry, not buying that Gabbard has 6% and Yang has 4% and Harris has 1.

For Gabbard, look at the Nate Silver tweet I posted above.  Her support is coming almost entirely from moderate/conservative independents (not Democrats).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2019, 03:33:21 PM »
Quote from: Cory Booker on November 12, 2019, 03:28:14 PM
What happened to Warren? Her polls dropped. So, has Sanders. I guess new flavor of month is Buttigieg

This illustrates an important point.  The race is fluid, and flavors of the month often don't last.  Remember when Warren was inevitable?  She could still win, but clearly her momentum has stalled.  Remember when Harris was the flavor of the month?  Now she's barely hanging on.  Harry Enten had a couple of good tweets on this recently:





In short: don't think you know what's going to happen based on short-term trends. 

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