McMullin Voters 2020

[Padfoot]

There are obviously still multiple unknowns about 2020 at this point but I was just curious if most people thought that the strongest faction of "never-Trumpers" would come back around to the party line if they were forced to make a two-way choice.  I don't think Utah would flip to the Democrats in a two-way race but if I had to guess right now I'd say the McMullin voters would split down the middle and Utah would only go about 55-45 for Trump.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

1/2 for Trump, 1/4 Dems, 1/4 other.

[SN2903]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

[SN2903]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Disapproval doesn't mean they won't vote for him. The democrats leftward movement is gonna consolidate the right and right leaners. I don't think third party vote will be very high at all in 2020.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Disapproval doesn't mean they won't vote for him. The democrats leftward movement is gonna consolidate the right and right leaners. I don't think third party vote will be very high at all in 2020.

I mean feel free to look up previous presidents' approval/disapproval ratings during re-election campaigns. It's not too common to find examples where they drastically overperform their approval, and if anything it is probably becoming less common over time.

[H. Ross Peron]

The Mormon segment will mostly pull for Trump, the neocon intelligentsia segment will turn to the Democrat in most cases.

[jamestroll]

Within Salt Lake County or Summit County most will vote for the Democratic nominee. Right now they appear to largely vote Democratic down ballot.

Outside of Salt Lake County and Summit County they will almost all vote for Trump.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Anectdote, but I, along with many others I know, disapprove of the President. Doesn't mean I won't vote for him.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

The Mormon segment will mostly pull for Trump, the neocon intelligentsia segment will turn to the Democrat in most cases.

As a member of the "Neocon intelligentsia segment", I'm not so sure about that. Do you have reasons for saying that?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Anectdote, but I, along with many others I know, disapprove of the President. Doesn't mean I won't vote for him.

This is a big part of the reason why I think Trump will win re-election: "I don't approve of him.  He's crass and he's crude, but I will vote for him over any Democrat." 

[W]

Entirely dependent on Dem nominee.

[SN2903]

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.

He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.

Anectdote, but I, along with many others I know, disapprove of the President. Doesn't mean I won't vote for him.

This is a big part of the reason why I think Trump will win re-election: "I don't approve of him.  He's crass and he's crude, but I will vote for him over any Democrat."  

Yep Democrats are misreading the approval rating numbers. Also he is at 45-46% in many polls which isn't bad. If you take maybe the 5% that do not "approve of him" but will vote for him over a democrat Trump could easily get 50-51 % in 2020.

[redeagleofficial]

Trump will get 55%, the dem will get 20%, the rest will vote third party again

[MarkD]

If there's no McMullin-type choice on the ballot, and if the Dem nominee is not Pete Buttigieg, I just won't vote. Speaking just for myself, that is.

[SN2903]

If there's no McMullin-type choice on the ballot, and if the Dem nominee is not Pete Buttigieg, I just won't vote. Speaking just for myself, that is.

Not voting helps Trump though. Just saying.

[redeagleofficial]

If there's no McMullin-type choice on the ballot, and if the Dem nominee is not Pete Buttigieg, I just won't vote. Speaking just for myself, that is.

Not voting helps Trump though. Just saying.

Don't tell him shhhhh

[Progressive Pessimist]

Mostly for Trump, but some will still probably vote for the Democrat or a third party candidate though.

[morgankingsley]

They could just stay home