2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Maryland (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Maryland (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Maryland  (Read 22613 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: June 30, 2020, 07:44:23 AM »

Here is my attempt at a map that the Dems could theoretically draw while still keeping most of their demands and being an improvement in terms of "prettyness" over the previous map?



MD-01: 62-38 Trump, R+12
MD-02: 57-43 Clinton, D+5
MD-03: 83-17 Clinton (VAP: 38% white, 37% black, 14% Hispanic, 11% Asian), D+29
MD-04: 93-7 Clinton (VAP: 59% black, 21% white, 16% Hispanic), D+40
MD-05: 56-44 Clinton (VAP: 68% white, 24% black), D+4
MD-06: 58-42 Clinton, D+5
MD-07: 75-25 Clinton (VAP: 52% black, 41% white) D+25
MD-08: 60-40 Clinton (VAP: 63% white, 18% black, 11% Asian) D+7

So basically incumbents get mostly similar districts to what they represent now minus MD-03, while there is also a 3rd minority coalition district (a 3rd black district can easily be done, but the one who would become black majority is MD-05 which I don't think would happen because of seniority? Hoyer does end up in a district that could theoretically flip in an R wave instead I suppose though
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Former President tack50
tack50
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 11,891
Spain


« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2020, 07:22:25 AM »

Actually now that I think about it, here is an improvement over the previous map. This is my attempt at an 8-0 that could be passed by Dems. Though really this is more like 7-0-1 as there still is one swing district



MD-01: Clinton+4, EVEN
MD-02: Clinton+11, D+4
MD-03: Clinton+26, D+1
MD-04: Clinton+76, D+37 (53% black)
MD-05: Clinton+34, D+18 (49% black)
MD-06: Clinton+14, D+5
MD-07: Clinton+34, D+19 (51% black)
MD-08: Clinton+19, D+7

All districts have voted for Clinton and have a D PVI (even MD-01 is technically like D+0.001). And all but 1 voted Clinton by double digits. And there are 3 black majority districts. (ok, the 5th is technically only 49% black but a black Dem would almost certainly win there)
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