Why were there so few very close states?
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Author Topic: Why were there so few very close states?  (Read 846 times)
coolface1572
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« on: November 07, 2019, 04:03:57 PM »
In 2012, just 1 state, Florida, was within 1 percent, compared to 2016 where there were 4. Even if we move the needle to 5 percent, only 4 states, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio fall within that range. Why were more states "set in stone" with their party in this election than most others?
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Redban
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« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2020, 01:44:56 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2020, 11:59:57 AM by Redban »
Probably the benefits of the incumbency. Obama had his coalition set, ran a good campaign that let him maintain his 2008 voters (e.g. over 60% black voter turnout). It was too hard for Mitt to pry them away.

Hurricane Sandy might have pushed Obama a few percentage points up in some states.
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annecortez
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2020, 09:21:16 PM »
What's happening to Florida right now? I am actually surprised!
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