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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: ON Progressive)
  Why were there so few very close states?
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Author Topic: Why were there so few very close states?  (Read 360 times)
coolface1572
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« on: November 07, 2019, 04:03:57 pm »

In 2012, just 1 state, Florida, was within 1 percent, compared to 2016 where there were 4. Even if we move the needle to 5 percent, only 4 states, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio fall within that range. Why were more states "set in stone" with their party in this election than most others?
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Redban
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« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2020, 01:44:56 pm »

Probably the benefits of the incumbency. Obama had his coalition set, had a good system that let him maintain his 2008 voters. It was too hard for Mitt to pry them away.

Hurricane Sandy might have pushed Obama a few percentage points up in some states.
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annecortez
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2020, 09:21:16 pm »

What's happening to Florida right now? I am actually surprised!
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