PA Statewide Elections 2019

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/sixtysixwards/status/1191767031282065408

Interesting yet unsurprising map, the liberal white regions are turning out the most. 

[Oryxslayer]

So, it feels like there is mixed results in the suburbs? The Delco and Chester council news is great, but the statewide races were very wonky.

These aren't *directly* comparable, but in Chester, Casey won by 20% last year, while Dems only 7.6% this year (not even Clinton's margin), while in Delco, Clinton won by 22% and Casey by *31%* yet Dems only added up to +10% in the statewide result. I know the suburbs are more moderate sometimes downballot, but this seems like a serious and odd downward trend, especially when the council seats all flipped blue.

Meanwhile, WTF happened in Dauphin? Clinton +3 and Casey +11 to Reps adding up to +7 there yesterday.

In the Trump flip areas, Lackawanna (Clinton +3.5, Casey +23.2), went to the Dems by 9%, while Erie (Trump +1.6, Casey +18.4) went to the Dems by 2%.

Even my home county, Montgomery disappointed me a bit. We went 22% by Dems, but that's only on par with Clinton (+21) and way less than Casey (+32).

Philly still has 100 precincts left to report and Northampton 150, plus a few other outstanding ones (~350 in total), so hoping that Green-Hawkins can somehow pull out a win for 2nd place.

I know these statewide races can not be reflective of what's happening, but it's still a bit dissapointing. Was hoping for a way better result from Dems, but turnout in my county, Montco, for example, was only 37%, compared to 67% last year.

Probably has to do in large part to turnout.  I can almost guarantee you that I was in the vast minority of people in my age bracket of 18-25 that even bothered to vote.  In contrast, the 65+ crowd definitely kept up the trend of getting out and voting, rain or shine.  When I voted near Uni City, I was definitely the youngest person in the room by at least forty years.  

Also minority turnout, which we all know is always low in these off cycle low-interest elections. Back in 2017, dems got nearly the exact same percentage in 'moving Dem' Chester as they got in 'Safe Dem' Delaware. A lot of these 'WWC rust belt towns' ironically now are dependent on minorities to give the  Democrats a floor. Some  of these minorities moved there back when there was jobs, but more have been invited to come by the towns to revitalize dead greyland. Reading, Lancaster, Reading, Allentown, and Harrisburg are majority minority, with many more possessing significant minority communities.