MI (Emerson) Peters +6

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Peters - 46%
James - 40%

Conducted 10/31-11/3, 1051 RV, +/- 3%
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/michigan-2020-democrats-aim-to-take-back-the-state

[MT Treasurer]

This also has Trump down 8-14 points. It’s of course early, but I really don’t think Peters will outperform the Democratic nominee significantly, and I wouldn’t be that surprised if James did 1-2% better than Trump (whether that is enough is a different question).

[Skill and Chance]

This also has Trump down 8-14 points. It’s of course early, but I really don’t think Peters will outperform the Democratic nominee significantly, and I wouldn’t be that surprised if James did 1-2% better than Trump (whether that is enough is a different question).

Yes, Peters trailing Trump and being up only mid single digits is not where he needs to be when all Michigan polling in the Trump era has had a 2-4% Dem bias. 

That having been said, I don't think MI will be very close in 2020.  I expect it will either be all R's win by 5ish or all D's win by 5ish. 

[SN2903]

James is probably slightly ahead if Michigan is dead even with Trump being tied with Bernie and Biden in the Sienna NY times poll

[Horus]

This is giving me Florida 2018 vibes.

[SN2903]

This is giving me Florida 2018 vibes.